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West Virginia and Kentucky in Clinton's Pocket; Oregon For Obama

5/7/08

Democratic Candidate WV OR KY KY
Pollster Rass Rass Rass SUSA
Date 5/4 5/1 5/5 5/3-5
Hillary Clinton 56% 39% 56% 62%
Barack Obama 27% 51% 31% 28%
Other(vol.) 17% 10% 13% 10%
Details Link Link Link Link

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Exit Polls Show A Split

5/6/08

Barack Obama has done extremely well in North Carolina and will win that state with ease. Clinton should be edging out Obama in Indiana thanks to a 6% lead among women voters.

To see the exit polls:

Here is what we have learned from these exit polls:

  • Obama dwindled the gender gap and the income gap in North Carolina.
  • Clinton won Republican and Indpendent voters in North Carolina, a voting bloc that has normally gone Obama's way.
  • Clinton lost the below 40 voters and won the 50+ voters by a large margin.
  • Clinton won white voters in Indiana by 20%, won those voters in NC by similar margins but the African American turnout in North Carolina was 33% and Obama won that group by 85%.
  • Obama wins every issue (health care, economy, iraq) in North Carolina but Clinton wins on the economy and on health care in Indiana.

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National Polls Moving Clinton's Way with Poll of Polls

5/6/08

INDIANA Date Updated Clinton Obama
AVERAGE     48.3 44.3
Zogby 5/4-5 5/6 43 45
ARG 5/2-4 5/6 53 45
IADV 5/4 5/5 48 44
Suffolk 5/3-4 5/5 49 43
NC Date Updated Clinton Obama
AVERAGE     42.0 50.2
IADV 5/5 5/6 43 47
Zogby 5/4-5 5/6 37 51
ARG 5/2-4 5/6 42 50
SUSA 5/2-4 5/6 45 50
PPP 5/3-4 5/5 43 53

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Latest Articles

barack obama hillary clinton

 

State by State Primary Polls

May

13

Nebraska (R)
West Virginia

20

Kentucky
Oregon

27

Idaho (R)

Jun
1
 Puerto Rico (D)

3

Montana
New Mexico (R)
South Dakota

 

Democratic Exit Polls

tab Race/Ethnicity
tab Gender
tab Economy, Health Care, Iraq
tab Income

 

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proloyProloy Bhattacharyya
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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