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American Research Group Says Barack Obama Ahead in Texas, Rasmussen Reports Has Clinton Ahead

2/15/08

Democratic Candidate TX TX TX
Pollster ARG Rass TCUL
Date 2/13-14 2/14 2/11-13
Barack Obama 48% 38% 41%
Hillary Clinton 42% 54% 49%
Other(vol.) 10% 9% 10%
Details Link Link Link

Two polls taken yesterday differ by 22% in how they see the Democratic race in Texas. A lot of it has to do with the large number of self-described Independents that American Research Group polled. Obama led that category by almost 50%. A strong turnout will help him. Here is how they broke down.

Texas
Likely Democratic Primary Voters Democrats (78%) Independents (22%)
Clinton 47% 24%
Obama 42% 71%
Someone else 3% 1%
Undecided 8% 4%

According to the Democratic Texas poll by American Research Group:

Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among self-described Democrats 47% to 42%. Obama leads Clinton among self-described independents and Republicans 24% to 71%. Obama leads among men 55% to 29% (47% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads among women 54% to 42%. Clinton leads Obama among white voters 51% to 40% (53% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 76% to 17% (22% of likely Democratic primary voters), and Clinton leads Obama among Latino voters 44% to 42%.

22% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 20% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. 30% of men say they would never vote for Clinton in the primary.

According to the Democratic Texas poll by Rasmussen Reports:

Overall, 78% have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 67% say the same about Obama. Among voters who are currently undecided, 59% have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 48% offer a positive assessment of Obama.

Eighty-two percent (82%) believe Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Seventy-one percent (71%) believe Obama would have a chance to win in November. Among those who are undecided, 53% believe Clinton would have a chance to defeat the Republicans and 50% say the same about Obama.

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