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Barack Obama Opens Largest Electoral Vote Lead Ever

10/6/08

State Pollster Date Obama McCain Barr Nader
National DC 10/1-5 48% 45% 2% 3%
GA R2000 9/29-10/1 43% 50% - -
VA Suffolk 10/3-5 51% 39% - -
VA SUSA 10/4-5 53% 43% - -
NM AJ 9/29-10/2 45% 40% - -
NH SUSA 10/4-5 53% 40% - -
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Gallup Tracking: Obama 50, McCain 42.
Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 52, McCain 44.
Hotline Tracking: Obama 47, McCain 41.
Battleground Tracking: Obama 50, McCain 43.

AVERAGE: Obama 50, McCain 43
Obama +7%

Barack Obama has moved above 350 electoral votes in the poll of polls estimate for the first time ever. Virginia is supposed to be a firm Red State but we have two polls that each show Obama ahead by double digits.

Method Obama McCain
Latest Poll Per State 345 184
Poll of Polls 355 174
Survey USA 262 276
Rasmussen Reports 306 205
Quinnipiac 269 128
CNN 283 148
American Research Group 287 251
Insider Advantage 214 160
Research 2000 188 198
Strategic Vision 211 175
Public Policy Polling 219 144
Mason Dixon 181 139
Zogby 271 240
National Average 46.9% 42.8%
Weighted Nat'l Avg 48.4% 44.6%

 

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Predicted Electoral Math

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