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California Propositions 98 and 99 - Prop 98 Will Fail

5/27/08

USAElectionPolls.com conducted a California statewide poll on May 25, 2008 with a sample size of 500 voters. We asked voters to tell us whether they supported or opposed the propositions and then asked whether they planned to vote concerning these propositions. A large percentage of voters said that they intend to vote but it is highly unlikely that they will. We excluded voters that had no intention of voting.

We weighted our poll based on age and gender.

Here are our results... In parentheses are the results by Public Policy Institute (ppic.org). From these results, we believe that Prop 98 will fail and that Prop 99 will pass.

Prop 98
Yes: 24% (30)
No: 51% (48)
Undecided: 25% (22)


Prop 99
Yes: 44% (44)
No: 33% (36)
Undecided: 23% (20)

Public Policy Institute conducted their poll between May 12-18 so our data is a bit more fresh but we are susceptible to Holiday bias with our poll being conducted the day before Memorial day. Either way, the results are similar.

Question Wording

P98

Proposition 98 on the June 3rd ballot is called "Eminent Domain Limits on Government Authority Initiative Constitutional Amendment." It would prohibit rent control, among other measures.

If you support this proposition, press 1
If you oppose this proposition, press 2
If you are undecided or have no opinion, press 3

P99

Proposition 99 on the June 3rd ballot is called "Eminent Domain Limits on Government Authority Acquisition of Owner Occupied Residence Initiative Constitutional Amendment." It would bar eminent domain being used to acquire an owner occupied residence for a private person or business entity.

If you support this proposition, press 1
If you oppose this proposition, press 2
If you are undecided or have no opinion, press 3

Props

Do you plan to vote in the June 3rd election concerning these propositions?
If you are very likely to vote, press 1
If you doubt you will vote, press 2
If you haven't decided whether to vote, press 3

------------------------------------
Poll conducted: May 25, 2008.
N=500 sample size.
Registered California Voters
Poll conducted by IVR Polls for USAElectionPolls.com

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