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Clinton Support Waning in New Hampshire While Obama, Edwards, and Richardson Growing11/12/07 There have been three polls this month for the state of New Hampshire (view) and although we do not put stock in any one poll -- we do however pay attention when we see a trend across many different pollsters. Each month, we average all of the polls taken for a given state and give the candidate a score on their candidate page (Clinton, Obama, Edwards, Richardson), here is how it looks for New Hampshire.
John Edwards is currently at his highest level of support in New Hampshire since April. The same could be said of Barack Obama but for him he is at his July levels. Hillary Clinton's support has dropped to what she had around July. Clinton's support has dropped 7% in the state since last month while Obama has gained 2.2%, Edwards gained 2.5%, and Richardson another 1.5% for a total of 6.2%. So Clinton's drop in support is being spread out over the next top three candidates of Obama, Edwards, and Richardson. Clinton has held a 20% advantage in New Hampshire the past 3 months to only see it dwindle another 10% against Obama. And even if she was to lose another 7%, it would only be a dead heat between Obama and herself if that loss of support splits off to support Obama, Edwards, and Richardson in exactly the same proportions mentioned above. Basically, this suggests that in order for Clinton to be upset and beat in this state, the voters need to coalesce behind the second candidate and who the voters of New Hampshire pick may depend greatly on the results of the Iowa caucus. According to the latest Iowa poll, according to Caucus rules, there was a dead heat between Clinton, Obama, and Edwards in the latest Iowa poll.
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