Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

tab Home
tab Bookmark Us!
tab State Polls
tab National Polls
tab Battleground Polls
tab Senate Polls

 

Presidential Candidates

tab Obama tab McCain
tab Nader tab Bob Barr
tab McKinney tab Baldwin

Battleground States

tab FL tab PA tab OH
tab NV tab MI tab NH
tab CO tab OR tab NJ
tab WA tab IA tab WI
tab MN tab SD tab VA
tab MO tab NM tab AK
tab CT tab GA tab NC
tab ND    

 

 

 
Free Daily Poll Summaries
Email:
rss feed

Attacking Obama is May Be Costing the McCain Campaign

10/17/08

State Pollster Date 7-Day AVG Obama McCain
FL R2000 10/13-15
O+3%
49% 45%
FL SUSA 10/16
O+3%
47% 49%
GA R2000 10/14-15
M+7%
43% 49%
MO Rass 10/15
O+4%
52% 46%
ND R2000 10/14-15
TIE
45% 45%
Subscribe: Poll Summaries To Your Inbox
Method Obama McCain
Latest Poll Per State 307 198
Poll of Polls 339 166
Survey USA 293 245
Rasmussen Reports 329 174
Quinnipiac 269 128
CNN 281 150
American Research Group 316 222
Insider Advantage 229 150
Research 2000 215 157
Strategic Vision 258 128
Public Policy Polling 239 124
Mason Dixon 186 134
Zogby 271 240
Weekly National Average 49.8% 40.0%
Weighted Nat'l Avg 48.3% 44.9%

Research 2000 found that 21% of Florida voters were less likely to vote for McCain because of his attacks on Obama.

Although Survey USA has McCain ahead by 2% in Florida, we've consistently tracked them and found that their results have tended to be skewed towards McCain... likely by the way they perform their polls. This particular Florida poll has McCain getting 22% of the African American vote in Florida, a rather unlikely outcome.

Nevertheless, even Research 2000 seems to have a somewhat close race in Florida... but we have known that for a couple of weeks. Florida is a must-win state for McCain. So is Ohio. McCain can not become the next president without winning Florida and Ohio. And a close race does him no good. He needs to win.

Florida Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Obama - 37.0 42.3 37.5 41.3 42.2 44.0 43.3 46.1 49.7
McCain - 44.5 48.0 49.5 46.3 45.7 44.7 46.7 47.3 45.6

According to the General Election Florida poll by Research 2000 for Sun Sentinel:

Twenty-one percent of respondents said GOP attacks of Democrat Barack Obama's relationship to Ayers, a Vietnam activist linked to a group that bombed buildings decades ago, made them less likely to vote for McCain. Another 67 percent said they were unaffected.

According to the General Election Florida poll by Survey USA:

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 3 weeks ago, almost nothing has changed in the Florida data, at a time when the world has changed profoundly. Then, the Dow Jones was at 11,143. Today: 20% lower.

In 4 SurveyUSA tracking polls going back to August, Obama has never led in Florida. 14 separate research firms are polling in Florida. The last 10 surveys released by other pollsters all show Barack Obama ahead by 1 to 8 percentage points.

Leave Your Comments, No Registration

 

Predicted Electoral Math

tab Latest Polls Per State
tab Poll of Polls
tab Quinnipiac University
tab Rasmussen Reports Polls
tab Research 2000
tab Survey USA Polls
tab CNN
tab American Research Group
tab Insider Advantage
tab Zogby
tab Mason Dixon
tab Public Policy Polling
tab Strategic Vision

 
Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

© Copyright 2006-2008 USAElectionPolls.com, All Rights Reserved.