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Mason Dixon's PA Poll Has McCain Down Just 4%

10/30/08

State Pollster Date 7-Day AVG Obama McCain Barr
CA Field 10/18-28
O+22%
55% 33% -
TX UT 10/15-22
--
40% 51% 1%
FL NJ 10/23-27
O+3%
45% 44% -
FL CNN 10/23-28
O+3%
51% 47% -
PA Mason 10/27-28
O+10%
47% 43% -
PA CNN 10/23-28
O+10%
55% 43% -
OH NJ 10/23-27
O+6%
48% 41% -
OH CNN 10/23-28
O+6%
51% 47% -
GA CNN 10/23-28
M+3%
47% 52% -
NC NJ 10/23-27
O+2%
47% 43% -
NC CNN 10/23-28
O+2%
52% 46% -
VA Marist 10/26-27
O+7%
51% 47% -
VA NJ 10/23-27
O+7%
48% 44% -
VA CNN 10/23-28
O+7%
53% 44% -
IN WTHR 10/26-28
M+3%
46% 45% -
MO CNN 10/23-28
TIE
48% 50% -
AZ Mason 10/27-28
M+5%
44% 48% -
AZ CNN 10/23-28
M+5%
46% 53% -
MN Mason 10/27-28
O+14%
48% 40% -
MN MPR 10/24-28
O+14%
56% 37% -
CO Marist 10/27-28
O+7%
51% 45% -
CO NJ 10/23-27
O+7%
48% 44% -
CO CNN 10/23-28
O+7%
53% 45% -
NV CNN 10/23-28
O+7%
52% 45% -
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National Polls

FOX: Obama 47, McCain 44
Rasmussen: Obama 51, McCain 46
Gallup (expanded): Obama 51, McCain 44
Diageo: Obama 48, McCain 42
Zogby: Obama 50, McCain 43
Battleground: Obama 49, McCain 46

AVERAGE: Obama 49.3, McCain 44.2 (Obama +5.1%)

Mason Dixon and NBC polled McCain within 4% of Obama in Pennsylvania and are now reporting that there is hope for McCain in that critical battleground state. Mason Dixon has McCain up by only 4% in his home state of Arizona... WOW.

CNN has a slew of polls that don't look very good for McCain. But that could be because the date ranges are old (October 23rd to the 28th). That long a timespan may smooth out the support but does not really do us any good in determining where the race stands right now. So I will overlook that.

Marist College has somewhat more recent state polls for Colorado and Virginia. They have McCain down by just 4% in Virginia and down by 6% in Colorado. Not bad considering what other pollsters had over the past week, including the polls released by CNN today.

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