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McCain Down 7% in Critical State of Ohio

10/5/08

State Pollster Date Obama McCain Barr
OH CD 9/26-10/3 49% 42% -
MN PSRA 9/30-10/2 55% 37% -
CO Mason 9/29-10/1 44% 44% 4%
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Gallup Tracking: Obama 50, McCain 43.
Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 51, McCain 44.
Hotline Tracking: Obama 48, McCain 41.
AVERAGE: Obama +7% nationally.

By dropping out of Michigan, John McCain's strategy has turned to defending the states Bush won in 2004. Crucial to Bush's victory in 2004 was Ohio but John McCain is down 7% in that state according to the Columbus Dispatch poll.

McCain cannot win without Ohio and he may not be able to win without Pennsylvania -- depending on how many Bush 2004 states Obama picks up. So expect McCain to play the race card as a last ditch attempt to secure the 2008 presidency. Because without the race card, he may not win. Uh oh, I am expecting a bad month for politics I guess. But we shall see.

Minnesota looked like a promising state for John McCain but this latest poll has McCain down 18%.

According to the General Election Ohio poll by Columbus Dispatch:

Not only has no Republican ever won the presidency without carrying the Buckeye State, McCain almost has to run the 2004 electoral table to win, carrying every single state President Bush won four years ago, including Ohio.

The Arizona senator is scheduled to appear in Cleveland on Wednesday, while Obama plans a two-day bus trip across Ohio this week.

Although both are attempting to persuade voters that they would bring about the change America needs, the survey shows that Ohioans are buying that message more from Obama, by a margin of 10 percentage points.

"It is not only a matter of change, but change for the better, and Obama has the better chance of securing that change," said poll participant Graig E. Kluge, 36, a Cleveland Heights real-estate investment manager.

"John McCain voted with Bush 90 percent of the time in 2007-08 and at least 70 percent before that. McCain will not push for the change that is needed for this country -- he is going to be much like Bush."

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