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Republican Race in New Hampshire Edging Towards McCain

1/6/08

Republican Candidate NH NH NH NH
Pollster R2000 Suffolk CNN ARG
Date 1/4-5/08 1/3-4/08 1/4-5/08 1/4-5/08
John McCain 35% 26% 33% 39%
Mitt Romney 29% 30% 27% 25%
Mike Huckabee 13% 11% 11% 14%
Rudy Giuliani 8% 11% 14% 7%
Ron Paul 7% 8% 9% 6%
Fred Thompson 3% 2% 1% 1%
Duncan Hunter 1% 1% 1% 1%
Alan Keyes - - - 1%
Other(vol.) 4% 12% 6% 6%
Details Link Link Link Link
Sources Link Link Link Link

Just as it was for the Democratic race, Suffolk University is an outlier here. McCain leads in this race by 6-14% but Suffolk has him down 4%.

It is believed that McCain has benefited from the Iowa caucus.

According to the Research 2000 poll,

John McCain has doubled his support since mid-December and leads Mitt Romney, 35 percent to 29 percent, according to a Concord Monitor/Research 2000 post-Iowa survey of likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire. Mike Huckabee was the choice of 13 percent of those surveyed, followed by Rudy Giuliani at 8 percent, Ron Paul at 7 percent, Fred Thompson at 3 percent and Duncan Hunter at 1 percent.

McCain leads among men (37-26) and women (33-32).

He leads Romney among registered Republicans (32-30 with Huckabee at 16) and undeclared voters (44-26 with Paul at 13).

According to the CNN poll,

Romney was the front-runner in most New Hampshire polls until last month, when McCain pulled even in many surveys.

"It looks like Huckabee's victory among Iowa Republicans helped John McCain more than Mike Huckabee. Huckabee gained one point among New Hampshire Republicans. McCain gained four. A week ago, McCain and Mitt Romney were tied in New Hampshire. Now McCain now leads Romney by 6 points," said Schneider.

For the CNN/WMUR survey, 359 New Hampshire residents likely to vote in the Democratic primary and 313 Granite State residents likely to vote in the Republican primary were interviewed.

According to the American Research Group poll,

John McCain leads Mitt Romney among men 42% to 21% and McCain leads Romney 35% to 30% among women. McCain leads Romney 44% to 19% among undeclared (independent) voters, with 18% for Huckabee. Undeclared voters are now 27% of the total Republican vote.

For a complete list of the 2008 New Hampshire Primary polls, visit our New Hampshire page.

 

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