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Obama's Average in Pennsylvania Over Double Digits

10/9/08

State Pollster Date 7-Day AVG Obama McCain Barr
PA SV 10/5-7
O+14%
54% 40% -
GA SV 10/5-7
M+7%
43% 50% 2%
VA PPP 10/6-7
O+8%
51% 43% -
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Gallup Tracking: Obama 52, McCain 41.
Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 50, McCain 45.
Hotline Tracking: Obama 47, McCain 41.
Reuters Tracking: Obama 48, McCain 44.
Battleground Tracking: Obama 48, McCain 45.

AVERAGE: Obama 49, McCain 43. (Obama +6%).

According to the General Election Pennsylvania poll by Strategic Vision:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 51% Unfavorable 37% Undecided 12%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 37% Undecided 15%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 46% Unfavorable 42% Undecided 12%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 50% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 14%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama 55% John McCain 35% Undecided 10%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 48% Barack Obama 43% Undecided 9%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 13% Disapprove 78% Undecided 9%

Pennsylvania Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Obama 37.0 42.2 42.5 43.5 45.6 48.0 48.3 46.3 47.6 54.5
McCain 40.0 40.7 45.8 43.0 40.8 39.3 41.3 39.0 43.8 40.5

According to the General Election Georgia poll by Strategic Vision:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 50% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 12%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 43% Unfavorable 37% Undecided 20%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 38% Undecided 14%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 52% Unfavorable 34% Undecided 14%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 44% Barack Obama 42% Undecided 14%

Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 52% Barack Obama 37% Undecided 11%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 35% Disapprove 57% Undecided 8%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 29% Disapprove 62% Undecided 9%

Georgia Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Obama - - 41.0 - 39.5 41.3 41.5 43.0 41.4 43.0
McCain - - 54.0 - 53.5 47.5 47.0 50.0 53.1 50.0

According to the General Election Virginia poll by Public Policy Polling:

As it is everywhere, Obama’s movement in the state is being fueled by the economy. 63% of Virginia voters name it as their top issue, and within that group the Democrat has a 59-36 advantage.

Demographically the major shift for Obama over the last three weeks has been among white voters. He’s reduced what was a 60-35 deficit there to just a 52-42 one.

Since the last survey Joe Biden’s stock in the state has risen while Sarah Palin’s has fallen. Biden’s gone from a +11 net favorability to +17 in the week following the Vice Presidential debate, while Palin has dropped from a +2 to a -9.

“Virginia is showing the same trends as pretty much every other battleground state,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Voters are turning toward the Democrats as concern over the economy mounts, and they’re also a lot less enamored with Sarah Palin than they were shortly after the Republican convention.”

The race for the state’s open Senate seat continues to be a romp for Mark Warner. He leads fellow former Governor Jim Gilmore 58-31 while winning independents at a remarkable 66-20 clip. He’s also capturing 26% of the Republican vote, making it nearly impossible for Gilmore to even bring the race within 20 points.

Virginia Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Obama 40.0 47.5 44.0 44.0 45.7 46.0 45.0 45.8 47.2 51.3
McCain 52.0 47.0 49.5 52.0 44.3 44.0 44.0 45.3 47.3 43.3

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