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Obama Gains 13% in Florida; McCain's Favorability Ratings Dropping

10/01/08

State Pollster Date Obama McCain Barr Nader
ABC ABC 9/27-29 50% 46% - -
National DC 9/28-30 49% 45% 1% 2%
National Pew 9/27-29 49% 42% - -
FL Qpac 9/27-29 49% 43% - -
PA Qpac 9/27-29 49% 43% - -
OH SUSA 9/28-29 48% 49% - -
OH Qpac 9/27-29 49% 42% - -
OH IADV 9/29 47% 45% - -
GA SUSA 9/28-29 44% 52% - -
NJ SV 9/26-28 48% 39% - -
VA IADV 9/29 51% 45% - -
IN SUSA 9/28-29 45% 48% - -
AZ Rass 9/29 38% 59% - -
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All the numbers have moved and jumped towards Obama. Quinnipiac University had McCain ahead by 7% in Florida, now Obama is up by 6%. A 13% shift.

All these major battleground states are moving Obama's way... First it was Michigan. Then Pennsylvania. Now we see Ohio and Florida moving his way.

Here is what Quinnipiac University said:

"It's easy to see why Sen. McCain is doing so poorly. On September 11, his favorable/unfavorable ratio among Ohio voters was 53 - 34 percent. Now it's just 49 - 40 percent, dropping from a 19-point plus to nine points in just 20 days, while Sen. Obama's ratings have remained as positive as they were. And the economy is the reason. " Brown said.

Seems pretty far-fetched to believe McCain can be competitive if the economy looms large in November.

There are six pollsters and/or methodologies that predict Obama will win the election (over 270 EV) but none that predict McCain would win.

Just a week ago (Sep 24), it was tied 2-2 between these two candidates.

Method Obama McCain
Latest Poll Per State 308 194
Poll of Polls 273 265
Survey USA 272 266
Rasmussen Reports 292 219
American Research Group 287 251
Zogby 271 240
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