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Obama Still 7% Ahead Nationally And Still Comfortable in Ohio and Colorado

10/25/08

State Pollster Date 7-Day AVG Obama McCain Barr Nader
OH ONP 10/18-22
O+6%
49% 46% 1% 2%
CO POS 10/21-23
O+7%
52% 40% - -
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Rasmussen: Obama 52, McCain 44.
Gallup: Obama 51, McCain 43.
Zogby: Obama 51, McCain 42.
Hotline: Obama 50, McCain 43.
IBD: Obama 46, McCain 42.

AVERAGE: Obama 50, McCain 43 (Obama +7%).

Obama is still ahead by 7% nationally despite the fact that some media reports say this election is tightening.

And no matter whose polls you look at, it is clear that Obama is still ahead. Our poll of polls estimate has Obama nearing 400 electoral votes.

Karl Rove even has the electoral map turning out like this: Obama 306, McCain 171.

Method Obama McCain
Latest Poll Per State 378 157
Poll of Polls 378 157
Survey USA 303 220
Rasmussen Reports 302 236
Quinnipiac 269 128
CNN 301 150
American Research Group 316 222
Insider Advantage 239 135
Research 2000 215 157
Strategic Vision 211 175
Public Policy Polling 250 129
Mason Dixon 182 173
Zogby 271 240
Weekly National Average 49.0% 40.0%
Weighted Nat'l Avg 50.3% 43.5%

According to the General Election Colorado poll by Public Opinion Strategies Rocky Mountain News:

"Clearly, the beginning of October is not a happy time in American history, and voters are sort of internalizing the financial crisis," said pollster Lori Weigel.

Since early August, when Colorado independents were almost evenly split between the two presidential candidates, Obama has opened up a more than 2-to-1 advantage in that pivotal voting group, the poll found.

Colorado Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Obama 46.0 48.0 46.0 48.0 44.3 46.5 44.4 46.9 51.0
McCain 39.0 43.5 43.0 42.0 41.0 44.3 43.4 45.5 44.2
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Predicted Electoral Math

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