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Ohio and North Carolina Move Back into Tossup Column

10/11/08

State Pollster Date 7-Day AVG Obama McCain
FL R2000 10/6-8
O+5%
49% 44%
OH UCI 10/4-8
O+3%
46% 48%
NC WSOC 10/6-7
TIE
46% 48%
AL SUSA 10/8-9
M+27%
35% 62%
IA SUSA 10/8-9
O+13%
54% 41%
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Method Obama McCain
Latest Poll Per State 359 169
Poll of Polls 333 169

The Ohio Newspaper Poll has McCain up by 2% in Ohio... that pushes Obama's 7-day average advantage in the state to a mere 3%. McCain has to win Ohio or else he will lose the election... so we shall wait and see whether the upcoming polls complement this poll or not.

According to the General Election Ohio poll by University of Cincinnati Institute Ohio Newspaper Poll:

“As Americans are watching the saga unfold on Wall Street, Ohioans are seeing the effects on their investments and in their wallets,” said Kevin Riley, Editor-in-Chief, Cox Ohio Publishing; editor of the Dayton Daily News and one of the organizers of the statewide effort by the eight Ohio daily newspapers. “It is essential for these candidates to articulate to Ohioans how they plan to make a positive impact to turn around our economy.”

The Ohio Newspaper Poll also asked Ohio likely voters how worried they are about having a secure retirement; 66 percent of the respondents said they are worried about their retirement.

When taking a look at past and future generations, 62 percent of 18 to 29 year olds say their parents’ generation was better off than the current generation of working adults. When all of the age groups were asked if today’s children will be better or worse off, the majority, 54 percent, said today’s children will be worse off than the current generation of working adults.

“Because Ohio is seen as a bellwether state, Ohio reflects how engaged voters are to the issues during this election,” said Eric Rademacher, Interim Co-Director for the University of Cincinnati Institute for Policy Research. “From The Ohio Newspaper Poll we know the economy and the current financial crisis are key issues that resonate with many Ohioans—as with Americans.”

Ohio likely voters were also asked about their views on the Social Security system and free trade agreements like NAFTA. Again, the majority of voters tended to take a negative view. Nearly 65 percent said our Social Security system has ‘major problems,’ and 55 percent said free trade agreements hurt Ohio’s economy.

Ohio Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Obama 43.0 41.5 41.3 42.7 43.5 46.4 44.7 42.8 45.6 48.5
McCain 50.0 41.8 48.3 45.3 42.8 41.6 43.3 43.8 46.6 45.8
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