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The Ron Paul Movement is Growing By Leaps and BoundsJune 8, 2007 We polled the visitors of our website yesterday the following question. How long ago did you learn about Ron Paul?
Based on the responses, we have concluded that approximately one-third of Internet visitors have learned about Ron Paul in the past 2 months. This represents a 50% growth. If you extrapolate that over the next 6 months, his online familiarity would be approximately 350% greater. But that does not tell the whole story. The interest in the election will also grow in parallel. If visitors to online political websites grow by a factor of 5 near the election, we will be looking at an almost 1400% increase in familiarity on the Internet. This is essential for a candidate that still has the lowest familiarity rating among all the Republicans. Don't just trust our online poll. Look at the web traffic statistics by Quantcast Internet Ratings.
As you can see, traffic to the candidate's web site did not really take off until March 15th! This means that practically all of Internet traffic to the candidate started within the past 3 months. He is currently getting 5,000 daily visitors to his website. According to Quantcast, this translates to only about 90,000 unique monthly visitors due to multiple visits by an individual. If he were to grow at the rate we expected, we are talking about 1.3 million unique monthly visitors to his website. That may seem excessive but consider that only represents about 2.5% of MySpace. Possible Rebuttal It is fair to claim that it is not right to utilize the past 2 months growth rate as a predictor of future growth rate because of the fact that growth tends to be huge at the beginning. But observations at Quantcast has shown that online traffic to political web sites near elections are about 10 times greater than normal. This means that a large majority of people are not that excited about the presidential race. We expect the intensity of the Ron Paul supporters to continue to remain strong online. And as the general electorate flocks online to learn about the election, they will be certain to learn about Ron Paul.
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