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Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008
Presidential Candidates
Battleground States
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Proof: Fox News Censors Ron Paul9/5/07 We posted an article just a few hours ago about the upcoming Republican presidential debate and we pondered whether or not Duncan Hunter would get more time to speak because of his win at the Texas straw poll. And a user posted a response asking why Duncan Hunter should be given more time when Ron Paul has won four straw polls. The straw polls that Ron Paul has won is not at the same level as the Texas GOP straw poll. If I was to take an informal straw poll of my neighbourhood and found that we overwhelmingly supported Ron Paul, would that be comparable... No. The Texas Straw Poll just happens to be considered official. But statistically and scientifically they are all trash anyways because straw polls are just polls of whoever is willing to join. By the way, let us put in a plug for our sister site USAStrawPolls.com where we are tracking all of the straw polls results that we can find. By the way, Duncan Hunter has also won a straw poll in Arizona. Anyways, we have seen overwhelming complaints by Ron Paul supporters upset at news coverage in which they feel their candidate has been "silenced" when he should not be. Is that a valid complaint? Should the absence of a reference to a candidate be a sign of unfairness? Well we decided to look into this. So what we did was a raw Google search of how many times each of the Republican candidates have been mentioned on some of the popular news media. Click on the numbers to see the exact search string we used to determine the entries to the table.
We understand that it is absurd to think that every candidate should be mentioned in exactly the same frequency everyone else for a variety of reasons -- number of campaign stops the candidates make, how many press releases the candidates have sent out and how long they have been in public service. But I think it would be a relatively fair comparison to bundle up the candidates into two pools; the top 3 (Giuliani, Romney, McCain) and bottom tier and compare the frequencies with which the bundles are referred to. The two bundles should at least be close, shouldn't they? We are excluding Fred Thompson from the "top candidates" bundle because he has not been an official candidate for long. In fact, he won't make his announcement for another couple of hours.
As we can see from the above table, the "fairest" coverages are from NYTimes, CBS News, and USAToday. Even though LA Times had a high ratio, if you were to exclude Rudy Giuliani from the group; it is actually pretty fair. The biggest culprit of fairness is Fox News. They refer to the top 3 candidates almost 5 times more than they refer to any of the other candidates. Mitt Romney was referenced 13,000 times on the FoxNews.com domain while Ron Paul has only been referenced 248 times. So for every 52.4 articles on Mitt Romney, there will only be one article on Ron Paul. That is absurd. On no other news source is the disparity as large as it is on Fox News. Tell us what you think of the findings in this article.. If you like it, please share it with your friends as it took us a long time to compile all of the data. And if you think this is a load of $!^@# because we were missing something, please let us know by email so we can redo parts of it if necessary. Even though the compilation may have been boring for us, the results are quite astounding. And we will be committed to test out more hypotheses in the upcoming couple of weeks.
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Predicted Electoral Math
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| Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
