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Suffolk Has Obama Ahead By 9% in Ohio

10/20/08

State Pollster Date 7-Day AVG Obama McCain
PA MC 10/14-18
O+12%
52% 40%
OH Suffolk 10/16-19
O+3%
51% 42%
VA Rass 10/16
O+9%
54% 44%
MO Suffolk 10/17-19
O+1%
44% 45%
KY R2000 10/14-16
M+14%
39% 53%
NH Concord 10/17-19
O+7%
50% 43%
MT R2000 10/15-16
M+4%
45% 49%
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National Polls

CNN: Obama 51, McCain 46.
Rasmussen: Obama 50, McCain 46.
Zogby: Obama 50, McCain 44.
Hotline: Obama 47, McCain 42.
Gallup: Obama 50, McCain 45.

AVERAGE: Obama 50, McCain 45. (Obama +5%).

Summary

Just when it seemed like there MIGHT be some movement in McCain's direction... the polls shut down that prospect. According to the 7-day average in Ohio, McCain was down 2% yesterday... But today's Suffolk University poll has him down 9% with the 7-day average moving him to 3% behind.

Virginia still has Obama ahead by about double digits.

Morning Call's tracking poll of Pennsylvania voters still has Obama ahead by over double digits.

Missouri still remains a toss-up.

New Hampshire is still Obama's to lose.

Even Montana, like North Dakota, is turning out to be a battleground state. As Markos Moulitsas of DailyKos.com said, he's "gunning for complete humiliation" of John McCain and the Republicans. Obama is clearly on the verge of the presidency with most electoral college estimates predicting him to get about 300-330 electoral votes.

Method Obama McCain
Latest Poll Per State 316 209
Poll of Polls 337 171
Survey USA 293 245
Rasmussen Reports 329 174
CNN 281 150
American Research Group 316 222

And Kentucky's senate race has turned in a battle where the Democratic challenger might beat out the Republican. McConnell (R) 46, Lunsford (D) 42.

According to the General Election Virginia poll by Rasmussen Reports:

Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of Virginia voters and unfavorably by 40%. McCain’s numbers are 55% favorable, 44% unfavorable.

According to the General Election New Hampshire poll by Concord Monitor:

A little less than a month ago, before the three presidential debates, Obama led McCain, 48 percent to 44 percent, in a poll conducted for the Monitor by Research 2000. In the new poll, conducted entirely after the last of the debates, 50 percent of likely voters chose Obama and 43 percent chose McCain.

According to the General Election Montana poll by Research 2000 for DailyKos.com:

We're seeing similar movement as in North Dakota. Polling 9/16-17, R2K spotted McCain a 53-40 lead. Last week, that had closed to 45-45. I'm polling South Dakota this coming week, to see if these trends are bleeding into neighboring states.

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