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Zogby Suggests that McCain Might Be Ahead Nationally

11/01/08

Half of Zogby's current national poll average was taken after Obama's infomercial ... and here are his preliminary findings.

  1. No evidence that Obama benefited from the infomercial.
  2. Obama's support dropped 1.1%, McCain's gained 0.8%.
  3. The last day of polling had McCain winning 48% to 47%. Zogby cautions us to wait until tomorrow to see if McCain really has traction.

Pollster John Zogby: "Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all. "Obama's lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on."

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