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Tom Tancredo Election Polls Stat Sheet

Date: Nov04-Aug05 | Sep05-Jun06 | Jul06-Apr07 | Latest Tom Tancredo Polls

Last Updated: 8/16/08

State Averages by Month

State
Election Date
[min, max]		 May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
California
2/5/08
[1, 3]		 1.0 3.0 - 2.5 2.0 3.0 - 2.0 -
Texas
3/4/08
[3, 7]		 - - - - - 7.0 3.0 3.0 -
New York
2/5/08
[1, 1]		 1.0 - - - 1.0 - - 1.0 -
Florida
1/29/08
[1, 3]		 1.5 1.3 1.0 3.0 1.5 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.0
Illinois
2/5/08
[1, 1]		 - - 1.0 - - - - 1.0 -
Pennsylvania
4/22/08
[1, 2]		 1.0 - 2.0 1.0 2.0 - - - -
Ohio
3/4/08
[1, 2]		 - - - - 1.5 1.0 1.0 - -
Michigan
1/15/08
[1, 2]		 1.0 - 2.0 1.0 - 2.0 - 1.0 -
Georgia
2/5/08
[2, 2]		 - 2.0 - - 2.0 2.0 - 2.0 -
New Jersey
2/5/08
[1, 2]		 - - 2.0 - 1.5 1.5 - - -
Virginia
2/12/08
[1, 1]		 - - - - - 1.0 - - -
Washington
2/19/08
[2, 2]		 - - - - - 2.0 - - -
Arizona
2/5/08
[1, 1]		 - - 1.0 - - 1.0 - - -
Maryland
2/12/08
[2, 2]		 - - - - - 2.0 - - -
Minnesota
2/5/08
[3, 3]		 - - - - 3.0 - - - -
Wisconsin
2/19/08
[2, 3]		 2.5 - 2.5 - 2.0 - - 2.0 -
Alabama
2/5/08
[1, 1]		 - - 1.0 - 1.0 1.0 - - -
Colorado
2/5/08
[4, 7]		 - - 4.0 - 5.5 - - - -
South Carolina
1/19/08
[1, 2]		 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -
Iowa
1/3/08
[1, 9]		 2.7 1.3 2.7 4.8 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.2 -
Oregon
5/20/08
[1, 1]		 - - - 1.0 - - - 1.0 -
Nevada
1/19/08
[1, 3]		 1.0 1.0 - 1.0 - 1.0 2.0 1.0 -
New Hampshire
1/8/08
[1, 3]		 1.0 1.0 1.0 - 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.2 -

Miscellaneous Averages

State May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Southern States 1.3 1.3 1.4 2.0 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.0
Western States 1.0 2.3 2.5 2.0 4.3 1.7 2.0 1.5 -
Red States 1.6 1.1 1.7 2.0 1.8 1.8 2.3 1.5 1.0
Blue States 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.3 -
Feb 5th States 1.0 2.7 1.8 2.5 2.6 1.7 - 1.6 -
Midwestern States 2.4 1.3 2.3 4.0 2.2 2.3 2.8 2.0 -
Northeastern States 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.2 -

National Averages by Month

Clicking on the month will sort the list in ascending-descending order.

Pollster
[min, max]		 May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
ABC News
[1, 1]		 - 1.0 - - - 1.0 - - -
American Research Group
[1, 2]		 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -
CNN
[1, 3]		 2.3 1.0 - 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -
Cook Political Report
[1, 3]		 1.0 1.0 - - - - 3.0 - -
Diageo
[1, 2]		 2.0 - 1.0 - - - - - -
Fox News
[1, 2]		 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -
Gallup
[1, 2]		 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 -
CBS News
[1, 1]		 - - - - - - - 1.0 -
Los Angeles Times
[2, 2]		 - - - - - 2.0 - - -
McLaughlin
[1, 1]		 1.0 - - - - - - - -
NBC
[1, 2]		 - 1.0 1.0 - 1.0 - 2.0 1.0 -
Newsweek
[1, 1]		 - 1.0 - 1.0 - - - - -
Pew Research
[1, 1]		 - - 1.0 - 1.0 1.0 - - -
Quinnipiac
[1, 1]		 - 1.0 - 1.0 - 1.0 - - -
USA Today
[1, 2]		 - 1.7 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 - 1.0 -
Zogby
[1, 2]		 - - - - - 2.0 - 1.0 -
Misc Pollsters
[1, 1]		 - - - - - - - 1.0 -

 

 

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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Useful History

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
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High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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