Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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National Polls

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Presidential Candidates

Obama	McCain
Nader	Bob Barr
McKinney	Baldwin

Battleground States

FL	PA	OH
NV	MI	NH
CO	OR	NJ
WA	IA	WI
MN	SD	VA
MO	NM	AK
CT	GA	NC
ND

Pro-Obama States

CA	DE	HI
IL	ME	MD
MA	NY	RI
VT

Pro-McCain States

AL	AZ	AR
ID	IN	KS
KY	LA	MS
MT	NE	OK
SC	TN	UT
WV	WY	TX

Democratic Exit Polls

Race	Gender
Issues	Income

Pollster Grades

ARG	IADV
Mason	RR

Pew Research National Polls - 2008 Presidential Polls (page 2)

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Democratic Polls

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey
Mid-date: 10/20/2007
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]

Hillary Clinton	45%
Barack Obama	24%
John Edwards	12%
Dennis Kucinich	4%
Bill Richardson	2%
Joe Biden	2%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	7%
None of these	3%
Source

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey
Mid-date: 9/14/2007
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

Hillary Clinton	42%
Barack Obama	25%
John Edwards	14%
Bill Richardson	3%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Joe Biden	2%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	8%
Other	1%
None of these	2%
Source

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey
Mid-date: 7/27/2007
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Hillary Clinton	40%
Barack Obama	21%
Al Gore	12%
John Edwards	11%
Bill Richardson	2%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Joe Biden	2%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	6%
Other	1%
None of these	2%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 4/20/2007
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]

Hillary Clinton	34%
Barack Obama	24%
John Edwards	18%
Al Gore	14%
Bill Richardson	1%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Joe Biden	1%
Unsure	2%
None of these	5%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 3/23/2007
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]

Hillary Clinton	35%
Barack Obama	26%
John Edwards	16%
Al Gore	12%
Bill Richardson	1%
Joe Biden	1%
Unsure	6%
None of these	3%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 11/11/2006
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]

Hillary Clinton	39%
Barack Obama	23%
John Edwards	10%
Al Gore	10%
John Kerry	7%
Joe Biden	2%
Bill Richardson	1%
Russ Feingold	1%
Unsure	4%
None of these	3%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 8/11/2006
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]

Hillary Clinton	40%
Al Gore	18%
John Edwards	11%
John Kerry	11%
Joe Biden	6%
Bill Richardson	4%
Russ Feingold	2%
Mark Warner	2%
Unsure	1%
Other	1%
None of these	4%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 8/11/2006
Est. MoE = 2.5% [?]

Hillary Clinton	29%
Al Gore	13%
John Edwards	11%
John Kerry	9%
Joe Biden	6%
Bill Richardson	5%
Russ Feingold	3%
Mark Warner	3%
Unsure	3%
Other	2%
None of these	16%

Republican Polls

Pew Research Center
Mid-date: 12/25/2007
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

John McCain	22%
Rudy Giuliani	20%
Mike Huckabee	17%
Mitt Romney	12%
Fred Thompson	9%
Ron Paul	4%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Refused	2%
Unsure	10%
Other	1%
None of these	2%
Source

Pew Research Center
Mid-date: 11/16/2007
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Rudy Giuliani	26%
John McCain	17%
Mitt Romney	13%
Fred Thompson	13%
Mike Huckabee	11%
Ron Paul	4%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Other	15%
Source

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey
Mid-date: 10/20/2007
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Rudy Giuliani	31%
John McCain	18%
Fred Thompson	17%
Mitt Romney	9%
Mike Huckabee	8%
Ron Paul	3%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Unsure	8%
Other	1%
None of these	4%
Source

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey
Mid-date: 9/14/2007
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Rudy Giuliani	32%
Fred Thompson	21%
John McCain	15%
Mitt Romney	9%
Newt Gingrich	6%
Mike Huckabee	4%
Sam Brownback	2%
Ron Paul	1%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Unsure	6%
Other	1%
None of these	2%
Source

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey
Mid-date: 7/27/2007
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Rudy Giuliani	27%
Fred Thompson	18%
John McCain	16%
Mitt Romney	10%
Newt Gingrich	8%
Ron Paul	2%
Mike Huckabee	1%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Sam Brownback	1%
Tommy Thompson	1%
Unsure	11%
Other	1%
None of these	3%
Source

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 4/20/2007
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Rudy Giuliani	32%
John McCain	23%
Fred Thompson	10%
Newt Gingrich	9%
Mitt Romney	8%
Mike Huckabee	3%
Tommy Thompson	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	8%
Other	1%
None of these	3%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 3/23/2007
w/o Fred Thompson
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Rudy Giuliani	33%
John McCain	23%
Mitt Romney	8%
Newt Gingrich	7%
Jim Gilmore	3%
Tommy Thompson	3%
Sam Brownback	2%
Mike Huckabee	1%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	12%
Other	2%
None of these	5%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 11/11/2006
w/o Fred Thompson
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Rudy Giuliani	27%
John McCain	26%
Condoleezza Rice	20%
Mitt Romney	7%
Newt Gingrich	6%
Bill Frist	4%
Sam Brownback	1%
Unsure	6%
Other	1%
None of these	2%

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 8/11/2006
w/o Fred Thompson
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]

Rudy Giuliani	24%
Condoleezza Rice	21%
John McCain	20%
Newt Gingrich	9%
George Allen	5%
Mitt Romney	4%
Bill Frist	3%
Sam Brownback	1%
Unsure	3%
Other	1%
None of these	9%

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Predicted Electoral Math

Latest Polls Per State

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Odds of Winning

Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures

AK: Stevens vs Begich

CO: Schaffer vs Udall

IA: Reed vs Harkin

ID: Risch vs Larocco

KS: Roberts vs Slattery

KY: McConnell vs Lunsford

LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu

MA: Beatty vs Kerry

MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin

ME: Collins vs Allen

MN: Coleman vs Franken

MS: Cochran vs Fleming

MS: Wicker vs Musgrove

NC: Dole vs Hagan

NE: Johanns vs Kleeb

NH: Sununu vs Shaheen

NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg

NM: Pearce vs Udall

OK: Inhofe vs Rice

OR: Smith vs Merkley

SD: Dykstra vs Johnson

TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

Polls We Have Conducted...

CA: Bush, Congress, Arnold

CA: Issues

CA: Prop 98 & 99

CA: Impact of Gender & Boss

CA: General Election

Useful History

Democratic Exit Polls

2004 Primary Polls

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M.S. Engineering; UCLA

David Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley

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High School Intern from Michigan

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One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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