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Who gets your vote in 2012?


 Barack Obama (BO)

 Mike Huckabee (MH)
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ABC News/Washington Post Poll

Added: 10/1/08

ABC News/Washington Post Poll
Date: 9/27-29
Added: 10/1/08

Barack Obama50%
John McCain46%
Source


Preference among likely voters overall is 50-46 percent, Obama-McCain, a bit closer (albeit within sampling error) than the 52-43 percent last week. The race between them is up for grabs as long as movables � independents and others less rooted in partisan allegiance � remain movable. But fundamental advantages for Obama remain:

-McCain�s laboring under the Bush legacy. With the current economic situation, a record 70 percent of Americans disapprove of George W. Bush�s job performance; a career-low 26 percent approve. Just two presidents have had lower approval (Richard Nixon and Harry Truman) and none has had higher disapproval in polls since 1938. McCain�s problem: Fifty-three percent of registered voters think he�d lead the country in the same direction as Bush, inching back up over a majority.

-Forty-eight percent of registered voters are uncomfortable about McCain�s age, a new high. And while Obama has advanced since mid-June in the sense that he�s a �safe� choice for president, to 55 percent, McCain has lost ground on this measure; 51 percent now see him as safe, down 6 points. -Obama continues to trounce McCain on enthusiasm. Sixty-one percent of Obama�s supporters are very enthusiastic about their choice, vs. 38 percent of McCain�s.

BUT STILL � For all that, Obama does not have the race in the bag. Though more registered voters say Obama than McCain won Friday�s debate, Obama has not progressed in the sense that he�d make a good commander-in-chief of the military, and remains under 50 percent in this measure. The number who say he�s got the kind of experience it takes to serve effectively as president, while a majority for the first time, is only narrowly so, 52 percent.


 

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