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CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research CorpAdded: 9/18/08
CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corp
Pollster J. Ann Selzer said the poll, with a 4 percentage point margin of error, reflects a lead by Obama that is tentative and reliant on a solid turnout in the Indianapolis metropolitan area. Obama's advantage, the poll found, easily could be erased. That's because one in four likely voters are still up for grabs: Six percent are undecided, and almost 20 percent of voters who say they prefer Obama or McCain say they could be persuaded to vote for someone else. Also, younger voters and blacks -- critical to an Obama victory -- have not turned out in past elections in Indiana in the numbers that reflect their share of the population. "The poll shows the race is slippery in Indiana," Selzer said, "and this is a fragile lead." Jonathan Swain, Obama's Indiana spokesman, said the poll supports the campaign's belief that Obama can turn this historically red state blue for the first time in 44 years. "This just reinforces what we felt all along: that Indiana is a battleground state that is going to play a key role in who the next president is," Swain said. "Hoosiers are seeing a presidential candidate do what they haven't seen in most of their lifetimes, and that's actively campaign here and actually compete here." .
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