Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008
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Zogby Poll
Date: 5/4-5
Indiana
Added: 5/6/08
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]
Quote: In Indiana, the race is all tied up among women who plan to vote in the Democratic presidential primary�at 44% each, while Obama holds a five-point lead over Clinton among men�47% to 42%. The ovevrall Obama advantage in Indiana�though statistically insignificant�comes after another strong day of polling Monday. The one-day total, which comprises about half of the two-day tracking poll sample, saw Obama winning 47% support to Clinton�s 41%. Monday�s polling results are combined with Sunday�s numbers to produce the two-day tracking poll. Among Indiana Catholics, Obama holds a three-point lead, while Clinton holds a similarly small edge among Protestants. Clinton leads among white voters, 48% to 40%, with 12% left unsure or supporting someone else. Among African Americans in the Hoosier state, Obama leads by an 82% to 13% edge over Clinton, going a long way to boost Obama statewide. African American voters in the Democratic primary comprise about 11% of the electorate. Obama made gains in Indianapolis and now leads there by a 62% to 30% margin, while Clinton leads by a similar margin � 58% to 32%�across southern Indiana. Across the northern tier of the state, including Gary in the west, South Bend, Elkhart, and Fort Wayne in the east, the pair are essentially tied�Clinton wins 44% to Obama�s 42%. Among voters age 55-64, Obama has made a move forward and now wins 44% support, compared to 43% support for Clinton. Yesterday, Clinton held a two-point edge among those voters. This represents a key advance for Obama, who has had trouble winning support among older voters in earlier states. Conversely, Clinton has won a small lead among voters age 25-34 in Indiana, which is counter to what she has typically done in earlier states. Otherwise, Clinton leads among those voters over age 70, while Obama leads among younger voters other than that 25-34 age grouping. As has been the case in other states, Clinton leads among low-income households, while Obama leads among wealthier Democratic voters. As was the case with the age demographic in Indiana, Obama has made inroads among those in lower income households that in earlier states had favored Clinton.
American Research Group
Date: 5/2-4
Indiana
Added: 5/6/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Quote: Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 51% to 47% among men (44% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, Clinton leads 58% to 40%. Clinton leads 60% to 38% among white voters (84% of likely Democratic primary voters). Obama leads 90% to 8% among African American voters (12% of likely Democratic primary voters). Obama leads 51% to 47% among voters age 18 to 49 (51% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads 59% to 39% among voters age 50 and older. 19% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 30% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.
Insider Advantage
Date: 5/4
Indiana
Added: 5/5/08
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]
Quote: Men: Obama 51%, Clinton 45%. Women: Clinton 50%, Obama 38%. Whites: Clinton 54%, Obama 41%. Blacks: Obama 80%, Clinton 4%.
Suffolk University Poll
Date: 5/3-4
Indiana
Added: 5/5/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Quote: AAs breaking 73-20 for Obama, Whites breaking 55-37 for Clinton.
Zogby Poll
Date: 5/3-4
Indiana
Added: 5/5/08
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
Quote: Clinton leads among white voters, 46% to 39%, with 15% left unsure or supporting someone else. African Americans in the Hoosier state, which make up about 11% of the Democratic primary electorate, heavily favor Obama. Obama leads in Indianapolis by a 54% to 33% margin, while Clinton leads by a similar margin across southern Indiana. Across the northern tier of the state, including Gary in the west, South Bend, Elkhart, and Fort Wayne in the east, the pair are tied at 42% each. Clinton holds a double-digit lead among Catholics, while Obama has gained a tiny two-point lead among Protestants. Among voters age 55-64, Clinton leads by a 43% to 41% edge, which represents progress for Obama, who does much better among younger voters. Among those voters age 35-54, he leads by a 47% to 37% margin, also holding similar edges among voters under age 35.
Survey USA
Date: 5/2-4
Indiana
Added: 5/5/08
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]
Quote: Clinton Has The Hoosiers Right Where She Wants Them, 24 Hours Till Votes Are Counted: 24 hours till votes are counted in the Indiana Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama in the symbolically important popular vote, and possibly by enough to pick up more than a trivial number of net Convention delegates, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary tracking poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. In 4 tracking polls over the past 5 weeks, Clinton has never polled lower than 52%, Obama has never polled higher than 43%. At the wire, they finish: Clinton 54%, Obama 42%. Among males, the two have been tied in 3 of the 4 tracking polls. Among females, Clinton has always led by at least 14, and finishes ahead by 22. Among Republicans and Independents, the two are effectively tied.Among Democrats, Clinton finishes ahead by 19.Clinton leads among Conservatives, Moderates and Liberals. She leads among Pro Life and Pro Choice voters, among regular and not-so-regular church goers. In Northern Indiana, she leads by 11. In Central and Southern Indiana, she leads by 27. In greater Indianapolis, Obama leads. Among voters under 35, Obama leads. Among voters over 35, Clinton leads.
Zogby Poll
Date: 5/2-3
Indiana
Added: 5/4/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Quote: Clinton holds a sizable edge among Catholics and a small advantage among Protestant voters. She also leads among older voters, while Obama leads among all Democratic primary voters under age 55. In a key age demographic - those voters age 35 to 54 - Obama enjoys a 10-point lead. This was a group that went for Clinton in the recent Pennsylvania primary, after leaning toward Obama in the week before the election. Clinton leads by 11 points among white voters in Indiana, which make up about 83% of the electorate. Obama leads by an enormous 10-to-1 ratio among African American voters in Indiana. He also continues to lead in northern Indiana, a large section of which is influenced by his hometown Chicago media market, and in Indianapolis. In the southern half of the state, which features a population much like that of Ohio next door, Clinton continues to enjoy a double-digit lead. Obama is holding on to a nine point lead among Indiana men, while closing the gap to five points behind Clinton among women.
Zogby Poll
Date: 5/1-2
Indiana
Added: 5/3/08
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
Quote: Clinton holds an edge among Catholic and Protestant voters, and among older voters, as she has in other states that have voted earlier this year. Obama leads among younger voters and among a key middle-age demographic - those age 35 to 54. This was a group that went for Clinton in the recent Pennsylvania primary, helping to propel her to the 10-point win she enjoyed there. Obama continues to lead in northern Indiana, a large section of which is influenced by Obama's hometown Chicago media market, and in Indianapolis. In the southern half of the state, which features a population much like that of Ohio next door, Clinton enjoys a double-digit lead. Obama enjoys an 11-point lead among Indiana men, while Clinton leads by seven points among women. Clinton easily won Ohio in the Democratic Party presidential primary on March 4.
Insider Advantage
Date: 5/1
Indiana
Added: 5/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]
Quote: Whites: Clinton 50%, Obama 35%.
Zogby Poll
Date: 4/30-5/1
Indiana
Added: 5/2/08
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Quote: The demographic breakdowns in Indiana mirror what we have seen in earlier voting states, with Obama leading among younger voters and Clinton leading among older voters. A key middle-age demographic�those age 35 to 54�now favors Obama by a 48% to 41% margin in Indiana, but this demo turned out to be a key battleground in Pennsylvania, which has a somewhat similar population make-up. Obama leads in northern Indiana, a large section of which is influenced by Obama's hometown Chicago media market. In the southern half of the state, which features a population much like that of Ohio next door, Clinton enjoys a double-digit lead. Obama enjoys an 11-point lead among Indiana men, while Clinton leads by seven points among women. After getting clobbered among Catholics in Pennsylvania nearly two weeks ago, Obama wins 41% support from Indiana Catholics, compared to 40% who support Clinton. Conversely, Clinton leads among Protestants by six points after having lost among them in Pennsylvania. Nearly three in four in Indiana�72%�said they held a positive overall view of Obama, compared to 68% who held a positive opinion of Clinton. The statements of Rev. Wright have had more of an impact in Indiana than in North Carolina. In the Hoosier state, 21% of likely Democratic primary voters said they were less likely to vote for Obama as a result of his former pastor's statements.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Indiana polls.
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