Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Survey USA
Date: 9/28-29
Indiana
Added: 10/1/08

Quote:

Race for President Tight in Hoosier State: In an election for President of the United States held in Indiana today, 09/30/08, Republican John McCain edges Democrat Barack Obama 48% to 45%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released six weeks ago, McCain is down 2 points; Obama is up 1. Among men, McCain leads by 9; among women, Obama leads by 2 -- an 11-point gender gap. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, McCain and Obama tie. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain leads by 8. Among those who are in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain leads by 4.
Among white voters, McCain leads by 9 points. Among blacks, Obama leads by 65. 85% of Republicans vote for McCain; 82% of Democrats vote for Obama; Independents are tied. Obama has gained ground over the past six weeks in the Indianapolis and Central Indiana areas; McCain has gained ground in Southern Indiana. In Northern Indiana, where voters see Chicago television from Obama's home state of Illinois, Obama led by 17 points fourteen weeks ago and by 5 points six weeks ago; today, Obama leads there by 1.

John McCain	48%
Barack Obama	45%
Unsure	3%
Other	3%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/17-18
Indiana
Added: 9/20/08

Quote:

The latest first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state shows McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 47% (crosstabs available for Premium Members). A month ago, McCain enjoyed a slightly larger advantage.
Parts of northwestern Indiana are effectively suburbs of Chicago, Obama�s home base. During the Indiana Primary, strong turnout in this region almost enabled Obama to pull off an upset victory. Four years ago, John Kerry racked up a 23-percentage point margin over George Bush in Lake County, the state�s most northwestern county. Strong turnout in that region could have an impact on the fall election as well.

John McCain	49%
Barack Obama	47%
Source

Big Ten Battleground Poll
Date: 9/14-17
Indiana
Added: 9/19/08

John McCain	47%
Barack Obama	43%
Source

American Research Group
Date: 9/14-18
Indiana
Added: 9/19/08

Quote:

Independents (26%): McCain 50%, Obama 37%.

John McCain	47%
Barack Obama	44%
Unsure	7%
Other	2%
Source

Indianapolis Star Selzer Co WTHR
Date: 9/14-16
Indiana
Added: 9/18/08

Quote:

Pollster J. Ann Selzer said the poll, with a 4 percentage point margin of error, reflects a lead by Obama that is tentative and reliant on a solid turnout in the Indianapolis metropolitan area.
Obama's advantage, the poll found, easily could be erased. That's because one in four likely voters are still up for grabs: Six percent are undecided, and almost 20 percent of voters who say they prefer Obama or McCain say they could be persuaded to vote for someone else.
Also, younger voters and blacks -- critical to an Obama victory -- have not turned out in past elections in Indiana in the numbers that reflect their share of the population.
"The poll shows the race is slippery in Indiana," Selzer said, "and this is a fragile lead."
Jonathan Swain, Obama's Indiana spokesman, said the poll supports the campaign's belief that Obama can turn this historically red state blue for the first time in 44 years.
"This just reinforces what we felt all along: that Indiana is a battleground state that is going to play a key role in who the next president is," Swain said. "Hoosiers are seeing a presidential candidate do what they haven't seen in most of their lifetimes, and that's actively campaign here and actually compete here."