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Insider Advantage for Politico

Added: 10/28/08

Insider Advantage for Politico
Date: 10/26
Pennsylvania
Added: 10/28/08

Barack Obama51%
John McCain42%
Source


InsiderAdvantage pollster Matt Towery suggested that McCain's slight improvement indicated that the race in Pennsylvania was tightening, though perhaps not quickly enough to make a decisive difference.

"These polls are showing us that there's either a little bit of tightening or stagnation" in Obama's numbers, Towery said. "But there's nothing that causes me to believe, based on this polling, that these battleground states are shifting significantly � or, at least, fast enough for McCain to catch up."

In Bucks County, presidential preferences broke down along generational and gender lines. While Obama posted a solid 52 percent to 34 percent lead among voters aged 18 to 29 and led McCain among middle-aged voters, McCain posted an equally solid 51 percent to 35 percent lead among voters aged 65 and above.

Following a familiar pattern, women preferred Obama over McCain, 55 percent to 34 percent; men favored McCain by 51 percent to 39 percent.

In Politico's previous Bucks County poll, female voters were more evenly split, suggesting that as the election draws closer, some voting groups may be reverting to predictable patterns of behavior.

Women also powered Obama's statewide lead, with the Democratic nominee winning their votes by a margin of 56 percent to 37 percent. The two candidates were effectively tied among men, with McCain winning 47 percent of male votes to Obama's 46 percent.

In the most recent Bucks County poll, Obama had a 42 percent to 37 percent edge among independent voters. Statewide, he carried that all-important group by a yawning 56 percent to 25 percent margin.


 

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