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Primaries 2012: Primary Polls
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Who gets your vote in 2012?
Democrat Polls
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/31/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/2/08
Est. MoE = 2.9% [?]
Quote: Clinton dropped two points to 28% heading down the stretch, falling into a dead-even tie with Obama and holding just a two-point edge over Edwards, according to the latest Zogby telephone tracking survey, which was conducted using live telephone operators in the Zogby call center in Upstate New York. When second-choice voters were included in the Democratic equation, all three top vote-getters were virtually deadlocked, creating as close a race for the party�s nomination as we have seen in modern history. Obama continued to perform very well among younger likely Democratic caucus-goers, while Clinton enjoys strong support from older voters. Among men, Edwards leads, while Clinton leads among women.
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/2/08
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Quote: Illinois Senator Barack Obama led with 32%; followed by former North Carolina Senator John Edwards with 29%; New York Senator Hillary Clinton 27% Delaware Senator Joseph Biden received 5%; New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson 2%; Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd received 1%; Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich 1%; and 3% were undecided. �Obama increased his lead and would appear to have some momentum going into the final full day of the race while Edwards appears poised that with his superior organization that he could still eke out a narrow victory,� said Johnson. �Clinton, surprisingly in light of events in Pakistan, lost support with a clear majority of Democrats expressing a desire for change over experience. �Obama also leads Clinton very narrowly among female voters,� continued Johnson. �Also weighing in favor of both Edwards and Obama are when the second choice support of the second tier candidates is asked, both Edwards and Obama benefit. Clinton�s base of support in Iowa appears locked between 25% to 30% with the latter her ceiling.� When Democrats were asked if they favored a withdrawal from Iraq in the next six months, 83% said yes; 7% said no; and 10% were undecided.
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/1/08
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/1/08
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Des Moines Register Poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/1/08
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]
Insider Advantage
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/30/07
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]
American Research Group
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Research 2000 for the Quad City Times/Lee Enterprises
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/29/07
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll
Mid-date: 12/23/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/28/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/28/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/22/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/25/07
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]
American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/21/07
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/21/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Mid-date: 12/16/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/21/07
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
ABC/Washington Post Poll
Mid-date: 12/15/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/19/07
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]
Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/20/07
Est. MoE = 3.3% [?]
Insider Advantage
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/19/07
Est. MoE = 2.9% [?]
Research 2000 for Lee Enterprises
Mid-date: 12/12/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/15/07
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]
Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics
Mid-date: 12/10/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/15/07
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/9/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/14/07
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]
Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/10/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/13/07
Est. MoE = 2.7% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/9/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/13/07
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]
McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/5/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/10/07
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 12/6/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/8/07
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/7/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Republican Polls
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/31/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Quote: On the Republican side, Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, gained a bit on Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas. Huckabee cumulative three-day tracking total equaled 28% support among likely Republican caucus�goers, while Romney moved up from 25% to 26% support. Arizona Sen. John McCain remained in third place at 12%, tied with former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, who has seen a late-breaking surge. Among Democrats, 5% were yet undecided just three days ahead of the caucuses. Among Republicans, 6% were yet unsure. Huckabee�s support spans all age groups, but he is particularly strong among voters under age 30.
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Quote: �The Republican race continues to be extremely close although at this point the momentum is with Mitt Romney and John McCain who is making a strong bid for third,� said David E. Johnson, CEO of Strategic Vision, LLC. �Romney has made significant gains among Christian females and is leading Huckabee among male voters which demonstrate that his relentless attacks on Huckabee are paying off. Further, Huckabee appears to have been hurt with recent events in Pakistan with more Republicans saying experience in foreign affairs and handling national security are a priority for them. The battle for first will be decided by turnout and the organization of the top candidates. On the organizational front, Romney would be favored. However, while Huckabee�s negatives among voters have increased dramatically so have Romney�s.� �The real battle is for third place,� continued Johnson. McCain is surging and is the first choice among voters who list national security or the war on terrorism as a top priority. If McCain were to finish third, it might be a bigger victory than a first place showing by either Romney or Huckabee as it would be so unexpected. McCain is the second choice of nearly 75% of the Giuliani supporters. Thompson is still in the fight for third but does not seem to be making a major impression among voters and was hurt with the renewed emphasis on Pakistan and the overall war on terror. Finally, the big question is whether Ron Paul might edge out Giuliani as his supporters are far more motivated than Giuliani�s and seem emotionally committed to their candidate while a majority of Giuliani�s also indicates they may switch their support to another candidate.�
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Des Moines Register Poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]
American Research Group
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Research 2000 for the Quad City Times/Lee Enterprises
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll
Mid-date: 12/23/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 5.4% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]
American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/22/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]
American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Mid-date: 12/16/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.9% [?]
ABC/Washington Post Poll
Mid-date: 12/15/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]
Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Insider Advantage
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]
Research 2000 for Lee Enterprises
Mid-date: 12/12/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]
Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics
Mid-date: 12/10/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/9/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/9/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]
McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/5/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.6% [?]
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 12/6/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 5.8% [?]
Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Iowa polls.
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