Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Democrat Polls

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/31/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/2/08
Est. MoE = 2.9% [?]

Quote:

Clinton dropped two points to 28% heading down the stretch, falling into a dead-even tie with Obama and holding just a two-point edge over Edwards, according to the latest Zogby telephone tracking survey, which was conducted using live telephone operators in the Zogby call center in Upstate New York. When second-choice voters were included in the Democratic equation, all three top vote-getters were virtually deadlocked, creating as close a race for the party�s nomination as we have seen in modern history.
Obama continued to perform very well among younger likely Democratic caucus-goers, while Clinton enjoys strong support from older voters. Among men, Edwards leads, while Clinton leads among women.

Hillary Clinton	28%
Barack Obama	28%
John Edwards	26%
Bill Richardson	7%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	5%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/2/08
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Quote:

Illinois Senator Barack Obama led with 32%; followed by former North Carolina Senator John Edwards with 29%; New York Senator Hillary Clinton 27% Delaware Senator Joseph Biden received 5%; New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson 2%; Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd received 1%; Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich 1%; and 3% were undecided.
�Obama increased his lead and would appear to have some momentum going into the final full day of the race while Edwards appears poised that with his superior organization that he could still eke out a narrow victory,� said Johnson. �Clinton, surprisingly in light of events in Pakistan, lost support with a clear majority of Democrats expressing a desire for change over experience.
�Obama also leads Clinton very narrowly among female voters,� continued Johnson. �Also weighing in favor of both Edwards and Obama are when the second choice support of the second tier candidates is asked, both Edwards and Obama benefit. Clinton�s base of support in Iowa appears locked between 25% to 30% with the latter her ceiling.�
When Democrats were asked if they favored a withdrawal from Iraq in the next six months, 83% said yes; 7% said no; and 10% were undecided.

Barack Obama	32%
John Edwards	29%
Hillary Clinton	27%
Joe Biden	5%
Bill Richardson	2%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	3%
Source

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/1/08
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Hillary Clinton	33%
Barack Obama	31%
John Edwards	22%
Bill Richardson	7%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Source

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/1/08
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Hillary Clinton	30%
Barack Obama	26%
John Edwards	25%
Bill Richardson	5%
Joe Biden	5%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Source

Des Moines Register Poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/1/08
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]

Barack Obama	32%
Hillary Clinton	25%
John Edwards	24%
Bill Richardson	6%
Joe Biden	4%
Chris Dodd	2%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

Insider Advantage
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]

Hillary Clinton	30%
John Edwards	29%
Barack Obama	22%
Unsure	5%
Other	14%
Source

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Hillary Clinton	30%
Barack Obama	26%
John Edwards	26%
Bill Richardson	5%
Joe Biden	5%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/30/07
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Hillary Clinton	31%
Barack Obama	27%
John Edwards	24%
Bill Richardson	5%
Joe Biden	5%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

John Edwards	24%
Hillary Clinton	23%
Barack Obama	22%
Bill Richardson	12%
Joe Biden	8%
Chris Dodd	2%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Unsure	8%
Source

American Research Group
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Hillary Clinton	31%
Barack Obama	24%
John Edwards	24%
Bill Richardson	5%
Joe Biden	5%
Chris Dodd	3%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Unsure	7%
Source

Research 2000 for the Quad City Times/Lee Enterprises
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/29/07
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Barack Obama	29%
John Edwards	29%
Hillary Clinton	28%
Bill Richardson	7%
Joe Biden	3%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	2%
Source

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll
Mid-date: 12/23/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/28/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Hillary Clinton	29%
Barack Obama	26%
John Edwards	25%
Bill Richardson	6%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	7%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/28/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Barack Obama	30%
Hillary Clinton	29%
John Edwards	28%
Joe Biden	5%
Bill Richardson	2%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	4%
Source

American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/22/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/25/07
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Hillary Clinton	34%
John Edwards	20%
Barack Obama	19%
Joe Biden	8%
Bill Richardson	5%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Chris Dodd	2%
Unsure	10%
Source

American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/21/07
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Hillary Clinton	29%
Barack Obama	25%
John Edwards	18%
Joe Biden	8%
Bill Richardson	7%
Chris Dodd	3%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Unsure	8%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/21/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Barack Obama	30%
Hillary Clinton	27%
John Edwards	27%
Joe Biden	5%
Bill Richardson	3%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Mid-date: 12/16/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/21/07
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]

Hillary Clinton	30%
Barack Obama	28%
John Edwards	26%
Bill Richardson	7%
Joe Biden	3%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	3%
Source

ABC/Washington Post Poll
Mid-date: 12/15/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/19/07
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Barack Obama	33%
Hillary Clinton	29%
John Edwards	20%
Bill Richardson	8%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
None of these	3%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/20/07
Est. MoE = 3.3% [?]

Hillary Clinton	31%
Barack Obama	27%
John Edwards	22%
Bill Richardson	9%
Joe Biden	5%
Other	3%
Source

Insider Advantage
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/19/07
Est. MoE = 2.9% [?]

John Edwards	30%
Hillary Clinton	26%
Barack Obama	24%
Unsure	7%
Other	12%
Source

Research 2000 for Lee Enterprises
Mid-date: 12/12/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/15/07
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Barack Obama	33%
Hillary Clinton	24%
John Edwards	24%
Bill Richardson	9%
Joe Biden	3%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	5%
Source

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics
Mid-date: 12/10/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/15/07
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Hillary Clinton	27%
Barack Obama	27%
John Edwards	22%
Bill Richardson	8%
Joe Biden	5%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	9%
None of these	1%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/9/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/14/07
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Barack Obama	33%
Hillary Clinton	25%
John Edwards	24%
Bill Richardson	4%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	8%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/10/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/13/07
Est. MoE = 2.7% [?]

Hillary Clinton	29%
Barack Obama	26%
John Edwards	22%
Bill Richardson	7%
Joe Biden	5%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	8%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/9/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/13/07
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Barack Obama	33%
Hillary Clinton	25%
John Edwards	24%
Bill Richardson	4%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	8%
Source

McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/5/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/10/07
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Hillary Clinton	27%
Barack Obama	25%
John Edwards	21%
Bill Richardson	9%
Joe Biden	5%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	11%
Source

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 12/6/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/8/07
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]

Barack Obama	35%
Hillary Clinton	29%
John Edwards	18%
Bill Richardson	9%
Joe Biden	4%
Unsure	5%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/7/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Barack Obama	32%
Hillary Clinton	25%
John Edwards	25%
Joe Biden	5%
Bill Richardson	3%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	8%
Source

Republican Polls

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/31/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Quote:

On the Republican side, Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, gained a bit on Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas. Huckabee cumulative three-day tracking total equaled 28% support among likely Republican caucus�goers, while Romney moved up from 25% to 26% support. Arizona Sen. John McCain remained in third place at 12%, tied with former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, who has seen a late-breaking surge. Among Democrats, 5% were yet undecided just three days ahead of the caucuses. Among Republicans, 6% were yet unsure.
Huckabee�s support spans all age groups, but he is particularly strong among voters under age 30.

Mike Huckabee	28%
Mitt Romney	26%
John McCain	12%
Fred Thompson	12%
Ron Paul	9%
Rudy Giuliani	7%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Quote:

�The Republican race continues to be extremely close although at this point the momentum is with Mitt Romney and John McCain who is making a strong bid for third,� said David E. Johnson, CEO of Strategic Vision, LLC. �Romney has made significant gains among Christian females and is leading Huckabee among male voters which demonstrate that his relentless attacks on Huckabee are paying off. Further, Huckabee appears to have been hurt with recent events in Pakistan with more Republicans saying experience in foreign affairs and handling national security are a priority for them. The battle for first will be decided by turnout and the organization of the top candidates. On the organizational front, Romney would be favored. However, while Huckabee�s negatives among voters have increased dramatically so have Romney�s.�
�The real battle is for third place,� continued Johnson. McCain is surging and is the first choice among voters who list national security or the war on terrorism as a top priority. If McCain were to finish third, it might be a bigger victory than a first place showing by either Romney or Huckabee as it would be so unexpected. McCain is the second choice of nearly 75% of the Giuliani supporters. Thompson is still in the fight for third but does not seem to be making a major impression among voters and was hurt with the renewed emphasis on Pakistan and the overall war on terror. Finally, the big question is whether Ron Paul might edge out Giuliani as his supporters are far more motivated than Giuliani�s and seem emotionally committed to their candidate while a majority of Giuliani�s also indicates they may switch their support to another candidate.�

Mitt Romney	30%
Mike Huckabee	28%
John McCain	16%
Fred Thompson	13%
Rudy Giuliani	4%
Ron Paul	4%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	4%
Source

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]

Mitt Romney	31%
Mike Huckabee	28%
Fred Thompson	13%
John McCain	10%
Rudy Giuliani	8%
Ron Paul	8%
Unsure	2%
Source

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Mike Huckabee	29%
Mitt Romney	25%
John McCain	12%
Fred Thompson	10%
Rudy Giuliani	8%
Ron Paul	7%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

Des Moines Register Poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]

Mike Huckabee	32%
Mitt Romney	26%
John McCain	13%
Ron Paul	9%
Fred Thompson	9%
Rudy Giuliani	5%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Alan Keyes	1%
Unsure	4%
Source

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Mike Huckabee	29%
Mitt Romney	27%
John McCain	13%
Fred Thompson	8%
Rudy Giuliani	7%
Ron Paul	7%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Mike Huckabee	29%
Mitt Romney	28%
John McCain	11%
Rudy Giuliani	8%
Ron Paul	8%
Fred Thompson	8%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Mitt Romney	27%
Mike Huckabee	23%
Fred Thompson	14%
John McCain	13%
Rudy Giuliani	5%
Ron Paul	5%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	12%
Source

American Research Group
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Mitt Romney	32%
Mike Huckabee	23%
John McCain	11%
Fred Thompson	7%
Rudy Giuliani	6%
Ron Paul	6%
Duncan Hunter	2%
Alan Keyes	2%
Unsure	11%
Source

Research 2000 for the Quad City Times/Lee Enterprises
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Mike Huckabee	34%
Mitt Romney	27%
Fred Thompson	11%
John McCain	8%
Rudy Giuliani	8%
Ron Paul	8%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	3%
Source

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll
Mid-date: 12/23/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 5.4% [?]

Mike Huckabee	37%
Mitt Romney	23%
John McCain	11%
Fred Thompson	11%
Rudy Giuliani	6%
Ron Paul	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	9%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/27/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Mike Huckabee	29%
Mitt Romney	27%
Fred Thompson	15%
John McCain	14%
Rudy Giuliani	4%
Ron Paul	4%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/22/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]

Mike Huckabee	23%
Mitt Romney	21%
John McCain	17%
Rudy Giuliani	14%
Ron Paul	10%
Fred Thompson	3%
Duncan Hunter	2%
Alan Keyes	2%
Unsure	8%
Source

American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Mike Huckabee	28%
John McCain	20%
Mitt Romney	17%
Rudy Giuliani	13%
Fred Thompson	5%
Ron Paul	4%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Alan Keyes	1%
Unsure	11%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Mike Huckabee	31%
Mitt Romney	25%
Fred Thompson	16%
John McCain	8%
Rudy Giuliani	6%
Ron Paul	5%
Tom Tancredo	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	6%
Source

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll
Mid-date: 12/16/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.9% [?]

Mike Huckabee	33%
Mitt Romney	25%
Rudy Giuliani	11%
John McCain	9%
Fred Thompson	9%
Ron Paul	6%
Tom Tancredo	3%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	2%
Source

ABC/Washington Post Poll
Mid-date: 12/15/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Mike Huckabee	35%
Mitt Romney	27%
Fred Thompson	9%
Rudy Giuliani	8%
Ron Paul	8%
John McCain	6%
Tom Tancredo	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	4%
None of these	1%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Mike Huckabee	28%
Mitt Romney	27%
John McCain	14%
Rudy Giuliani	8%
Fred Thompson	8%
Ron Paul	6%
Tom Tancredo	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Source

Insider Advantage
Mid-date: 12/17/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Mike Huckabee	28%
Mitt Romney	25%
Fred Thompson	10%
John McCain	9%
Rudy Giuliani	6%
Ron Paul	6%
Tom Tancredo	3%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	13%
Source

Research 2000 for Lee Enterprises
Mid-date: 12/12/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Mike Huckabee	31%
Mitt Romney	22%
Rudy Giuliani	9%
Fred Thompson	9%
John McCain	7%
Ron Paul	7%
Tom Tancredo	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	12%
Source

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics
Mid-date: 12/10/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

Mike Huckabee	36%
Mitt Romney	23%
Rudy Giuliani	12%
Fred Thompson	8%
John McCain	5%
Ron Paul	5%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Unsure	9%
None of these	1%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/9/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Mike Huckabee	30%
Mitt Romney	25%
Fred Thompson	13%
Rudy Giuliani	10%
John McCain	5%
Ron Paul	4%
Tom Tancredo	3%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	9%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/9/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Mike Huckabee	30%
Mitt Romney	25%
Fred Thompson	13%
Rudy Giuliani	10%
John McCain	5%
Ron Paul	4%
Tom Tancredo	3%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	9%
Source

McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/5/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.6% [?]

Mike Huckabee	32%
Mitt Romney	20%
Fred Thompson	11%
John McCain	7%
Rudy Giuliani	5%
Ron Paul	2%
Tom Tancredo	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Alan Keyes	1%
Unsure	19%
Source

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Mid-date: 12/6/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 5.8% [?]

Mike Huckabee	39%
Mitt Romney	17%
Fred Thompson	10%
Rudy Giuliani	9%
Ron Paul	8%
John McCain	6%
Tom Tancredo	2%
Unsure	8%
Other	1%
Source

Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Mike Huckabee	27%
Mitt Romney	24%
Rudy Giuliani	13%
Fred Thompson	11%
John McCain	6%
Ron Paul	5%
Tom Tancredo	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	11%
Source

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Iowa polls.

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