Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Democrat Polls

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 1/1/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/3/08
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Quote:

Democrat Barack Obama continued his upward momentum through the evening before the Iowa caucuses, capturing the lead ahead of rivals John Edwards and Hillary Clinton.. Meanwhile, Republican Mike Hucakbee widened his lead over Mitt Romney down the stretch, the newest and last Reuters/C�SPAN/Zogby daily telephone tracking poll in Iowa shows.

Obama broke through the 30% barrier for the first time, gaining 31% support after another strong day leading up to the caucuses. But more dramatic was Clinton�s four-point drop in this last day of tracking. Edwards moved into second place by himself after another day where he steadily gained ground. This fifth and final daily tracking poll was conducted using live telephone operators in the Zogby call center in Upstate New York. Edwards finished this Zogby daily tracking in Iowa in the same place as four years ago, when Zogby correctly identified the finishing order of the candidates in that caucus.

Obama continued to perform very well among younger likely Democratic caucus-goers, while Clinton enjoys strong support from older voters. Among men, Obama has sprinted ahead of Edwards, who is now second. Clinton continues to lead among women, but only by a small margin.

Barack Obama31%
John Edwards27%
Hillary Clinton24%
Bill Richardson7%
Joe Biden5%
Chris Dodd1%
Unsure5%
Source


American Research Group
Mid-date: 1/31/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Hillary Clinton35%
John Edwards18%
Barack Obama14%
Tom Vilsack12%
Dennis Kucinich2%
Joe Biden2%
Wesley Clark2%
Bill Richardson1%
Chris Dodd1%
Unsure13%
Source


Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 1/20/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

John Edwards25%
Barack Obama17%
Tom Vilsack16%
Hillary Clinton15%
Joe Biden4%
John Kerry3%
Wesley Clark2%
Bill Richardson1%
Dennis Kucinich1%
Chris Dodd1%
Unsure15%
Source


Zogby International Poll
Mid-date: 1/16/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]

John Edwards27%
Barack Obama17%
Hillary Clinton16%
Tom Vilsack16%
Joe Biden3%
John Kerry3%
Bill Richardson1%
Dennis Kucinich1%
Unsure13%
Other4%
Source


Republican Polls

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby tracking poll
Mid-date: 1/1/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Quote:

With a Huckabee surge and a Romney dip, the former Arkansas governor opened up a six-point lead over his nearest rival. Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson also lost a point, and Arizona Sen. John McCain, who has been surging in New Hampshire, faded here into a tie for fourth place.

Huckabee�s strength among women was notable � he leads Romney by a 37% to 25% margin, while enjoying a narrow 27% to 25% edge among men. Huckabee also continued to show well among those likely caucus-goers age 25-34 and age 35-54, where he held significant leads over Romney and the rest of the field.

Mike Huckabee31%
Mitt Romney25%
Fred Thompson11%
John McCain10%
Ron Paul10%
Rudy Giuliani6%
Duncan Hunter1%
Unsure6%
Source


American Research Group
Mid-date: 1/31/2007
Iowa
w/o Fred Thompson
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Rudy Giuliani27%
John McCain22%
Newt Gingrich16%
Mitt Romney11%
Chuck Hagel5%
Mike Huckabee2%
Tom Tancredo1%
Sam Brownback1%
Unsure15%
Source


Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 1/20/2007
Iowa
w/o Fred Thompson
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

Rudy Giuliani25%
John McCain21%
Newt Gingrich13%
Mitt Romney8%
Chuck Hagel7%
Mike Huckabee2%
Tom Tancredo2%
Sam Brownback2%
Tommy Thompson2%
Duncan Hunter1%
Jim Gilmore1%
George Pataki1%
Unsure16%
Source


Zogby International Poll
Mid-date: 1/16/2007
Iowa
w/o Fred Thompson
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Rudy Giuliani19%
John McCain17%
Newt Gingrich13%
Condoleezza Rice9%
Mitt Romney5%
Tom Tancredo2%
Chuck Hagel2%
Mike Huckabee1%
Sam Brownback1%
George Pataki1%
Tommy Thompson1%
Unsure22%
Other6%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Iowa polls.


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Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
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ID: Risch vs Larocco
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KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
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MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
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NC: Dole vs Hagan
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NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
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One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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