Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Democrat Polls

American Research Group
Mid-date: 5/25/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Hillary Clinton31%
John Edwards25%
Barack Obama11%
Bill Richardson8%
Dennis Kucinich4%
Joe Biden3%
Chris Dodd2%
Mike Gravel1%
Wesley Clark1%
Unsure14%
Source


Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 5/19/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

John Edwards29%
Barack Obama24%
Hillary Clinton16%
Bill Richardson9%
Joe Biden3%
Chris Dodd2%
Dennis Kucinich1%
Unsure16%
Source


Des Moines Register Iowa Poll conducted by Selzer & Company
Mid-date: 5/14/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

John Edwards29%
Barack Obama23%
Hillary Clinton21%
Bill Richardson10%
Joe Biden3%
Dennis Kucinich2%
Mike Gravel1%
Unsure11%
Source


Research 2000 for KCCI TV and KCRG TV
Mid-date: 5/15/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Hillary Clinton28%
John Edwards26%
Barack Obama22%
Bill Richardson7%
Dennis Kucinich2%
Joe Biden2%
Chris Dodd2%
Mike Gravel1%
Unsure10%
Source


Zogby International Poll
Mid-date: 5/15/2007
Iowa
w/o Al Gore
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

John Edwards26%
Hillary Clinton24%
Barack Obama22%
Bill Richardson6%
Joe Biden4%
Dennis Kucinich1%
Unsure16%
Source


Zogby International Poll
Mid-date: 5/15/2007
Iowa
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

John Edwards24%
Barack Obama23%
Hillary Clinton21%
Al Gore7%
Bill Richardson6%
Joe Biden5%
Dennis Kucinich1%
Unsure12%
Other1%
Source


Republican Polls

American Research Group
Mid-date: 5/25/2007
Iowa
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

John McCain25%
Rudy Giuliani23%
Mitt Romney16%
Newt Gingrich8%
Fred Thompson6%
Sam Brownback3%
Mike Huckabee2%
Tom Tancredo2%
Chuck Hagel2%
Tommy Thompson2%
Jim Gilmore1%
Unsure10%
Source


Strategic Vision
Mid-date: 5/19/2007
Iowa
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]

Mitt Romney20%
Rudy Giuliani18%
John McCain16%
Fred Thompson10%
Tommy Thompson7%
Newt Gingrich5%
Mike Huckabee3%
Ron Paul2%
Tom Tancredo2%
Sam Brownback2%
Duncan Hunter1%
Jim Gilmore1%
Chuck Hagel1%
Unsure12%
Source


Des Moines Register Iowa Poll conducted by Selzer & Company
Mid-date: 5/14/2007
Iowa
w/o Fred Thompson
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

Mitt Romney30%
John McCain18%
Rudy Giuliani17%
Tommy Thompson7%
Sam Brownback5%
Mike Huckabee4%
Tom Tancredo4%
Duncan Hunter1%
Jim Gilmore1%
John Cox1%
Unsure12%
Source


Research 2000 for KCCI TV and KCRG TV
Mid-date: 5/15/2007
Iowa
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

John McCain18%
Rudy Giuliani17%
Mitt Romney16%
Fred Thompson9%
Newt Gingrich6%
Tom Tancredo3%
Tommy Thompson3%
Mike Huckabee2%
Sam Brownback2%
Duncan Hunter1%
Jim Gilmore1%
Unsure22%
Source


Zogby International Poll
Mid-date: 5/15/2007
Iowa
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

Mitt Romney19%
John McCain18%
Rudy Giuliani18%
Fred Thompson9%
Tommy Thompson4%
Tom Tancredo3%
Mike Huckabee2%
Sam Brownback2%
Ron Paul1%
Unsure22%
Other3%
Source


Zogby International Poll
Mid-date: 5/15/2007
Iowa
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]

John McCain18%
Mitt Romney17%
Rudy Giuliani16%
Fred Thompson8%
Newt Gingrich8%
Sam Brownback4%
Tommy Thompson3%
Tom Tancredo2%
Mike Huckabee1%
Unsure21%
Other2%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Iowa polls.


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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
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tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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