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Marist CollegeAdded: 9/24/08
Marist College
Advantage, Obama�Double-Digit Lead Among Likely Voters: Although the presidential race between Senator Barack Obama and Senator John McCain is a close contest among Iowa�s registered voters, the Democratic candidate leads his Republican opponent by double digits among voters likely to vote on Election Day. 46% of Iowa�s registered voters say they support Obama while 41% say they back McCain. But, Obama widens his lead among likely Iowa voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Obama receives 51% to McCain�s 41% among these voters. Here�s how the contest breaks down along party lines. 92% of Iowa�s likely Democratic voters report they support Obama. 85% of the state�s likely Republican voters say they back their party�s candidate, McCain. Independent voters likely to vote in November divide 44% for Obama to 42% for McCain. Iowa is one of three states that switched party columns from 2000 to 2004 and by the narrowest of margins. Al Gore carried the state in 2000. President Bush defeated former Democratic Presidential Candidate John Kerry in 2004. Right now, Obama is poised to change Iowa�s electoral make-up yet again. The Economy is Front and Center: As Congress hammers out the details of a $700 billion bailout of the nation�s financial institutions, the economy is the main issue on the minds of registered voters in Iowa. 48% say the economy is the number one issue they consider when it comes to picking a candidate. Social issues like abortion or same sex marriage are most important for 9% of the Iowa electorate with health care following closely behind with 8%. Supporters of both John McCain and Barack Obama agree that the economy is the key issue in this presidential race, but it�s more important for backers of the Democratic candidate. 60% of Obama�s supporters report the economy is their top priority compared with 37% of John McCain�s. More McCain backers -- 18% -- say social issues are at the core of this election while just 3% of voters for Obama see these issues as major concerns. For 9% of registered voters in the Obama camp, health care tops their priority list followed by the war in Iraq and education.
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