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Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008
Presidential Candidates
Battleground States
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Marist CollegeAdded: 9/24/08
Marist College
John McCain has gained ground for the third straight month and now holds a slight two-point advantage over Barack Obama in the swing state of New Hampshire. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Granite State finds McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 47%. A month ago, it was Obama by a point. At the moment, the presidential race in New Hampshire is a toss-up. Nationally, the race remains close in the Daily Presidential Tracking poll. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Obama voters say they will vote with enthusiasm for their candidate, a feeling shared by 68% of McCain voters. Twenty-six percent (26%) of McCain voters say they�re voting primarily against Obama while 20% of Obama voters are voting primarily against McCain. McCain is now viewed favorably by 60% of New Hampshire voters, Obama by 54%. Those figures reflect a three-point improvement for McCain and a single-point decline for Obama. Candidates Locked in Tight Race�Obama with Edge Among Likely Voters: With New Hampshire�s 4 electoral votes on the line, Senator Barack Obama has the support of 48% to 45% for Senator John McCain among New Hampshire�s registered voters. However, factor in New Hampshire�s likely voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, and Barack Obama has a 6 percentage point edge over John McCain. Obama leads McCain 51% to 45%. There is a wide partisan divide among New Hampshire�s likely voters. 96% of the state�s likely Democratic voters say they support Obama while 87% of the state�s likely Republican voters say they back McCain. A majority of New Hampshire�s Independent voters -- 54% -- report they are behind Barack Obama. Most Voters Strongly Support Their Candidate: Overall, 79% of New Hampshire�s registered voters say they strongly support their choice of candidate. When it comes to the level of commitment in each candidate�s camp, 77% of John McCain�s supporters say they are firmly behind him while Barack Obama enjoys the strong backing of 81% of his supporters. McCain and Obama are on equal footing when it comes to their supporters who might switch their vote at the polls. Just 4% of both McCain�s and Obama�s backers say they might change their minds. Economic Crisis Plays Pivotal Role in Defining Campaign�s Focus: From Wall Street to Main Street, the economy is, once again, dominating the headlines. For New Hampshire�s registered voters, the economy is the key issue in this campaign. 46% say the economy is their top priority when choosing a candidate. The war in Iraq and security against terrorism also rank highly in the minds of New Hampshire�s registered voters. Each receives 10%. More of Obama�s backers, however, are concerned about the economy than are McCain�s supporters. 52% of voters aligned with Obama say it�s their main focus compared with 39% of voters standing with McCain. Security against terrorism is a hot button issue for 19% of McCain�s supporters while just 1% of voters for Obama view it as their top priority. For 16% of voters in the Obama camp, the war in Iraq is a major concern. 5% of McCain�s allies see it as the deciding issue in this election.
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Predicted Electoral Math
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| Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
