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Marist CollegeAdded: 9/24/08
Marist College
John McCain has gained ground for the third straight month and now holds a slight two-point advantage over Barack Obama in the swing state of New Hampshire. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Granite State finds McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 47%. A month ago, it was Obama by a point. At the moment, the presidential race in New Hampshire is a toss-up. Nationally, the race remains close in the Daily Presidential Tracking poll. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Obama voters say they will vote with enthusiasm for their candidate, a feeling shared by 68% of McCain voters. Twenty-six percent (26%) of McCain voters say they�re voting primarily against Obama while 20% of Obama voters are voting primarily against McCain. McCain is now viewed favorably by 60% of New Hampshire voters, Obama by 54%. Those figures reflect a three-point improvement for McCain and a single-point decline for Obama. Candidates Locked in Tight Race�Obama with Edge Among Likely Voters: With New Hampshire�s 4 electoral votes on the line, Senator Barack Obama has the support of 48% to 45% for Senator John McCain among New Hampshire�s registered voters. However, factor in New Hampshire�s likely voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, and Barack Obama has a 6 percentage point edge over John McCain. Obama leads McCain 51% to 45%. There is a wide partisan divide among New Hampshire�s likely voters. 96% of the state�s likely Democratic voters say they support Obama while 87% of the state�s likely Republican voters say they back McCain. A majority of New Hampshire�s Independent voters -- 54% -- report they are behind Barack Obama. Most Voters Strongly Support Their Candidate: Overall, 79% of New Hampshire�s registered voters say they strongly support their choice of candidate. When it comes to the level of commitment in each candidate�s camp, 77% of John McCain�s supporters say they are firmly behind him while Barack Obama enjoys the strong backing of 81% of his supporters. McCain and Obama are on equal footing when it comes to their supporters who might switch their vote at the polls. Just 4% of both McCain�s and Obama�s backers say they might change their minds. Economic Crisis Plays Pivotal Role in Defining Campaign�s Focus: From Wall Street to Main Street, the economy is, once again, dominating the headlines. For New Hampshire�s registered voters, the economy is the key issue in this campaign. 46% say the economy is their top priority when choosing a candidate. The war in Iraq and security against terrorism also rank highly in the minds of New Hampshire�s registered voters. Each receives 10%. More of Obama�s backers, however, are concerned about the economy than are McCain�s supporters. 52% of voters aligned with Obama say it�s their main focus compared with 39% of voters standing with McCain. Security against terrorism is a hot button issue for 19% of McCain�s supporters while just 1% of voters for Obama view it as their top priority. For 16% of voters in the Obama camp, the war in Iraq is a major concern. 5% of McCain�s allies see it as the deciding issue in this election.
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