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Democrat Polls
Constituent Dynamics
American Research Group
Quote: Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton among men 58% to 32% (42% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads Clinton among women 53% to 42%. Clinton leads Obama among white voters 51% to 39% (59% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 81% to 16% (38% of likely Democratic primary voters). 17% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 24% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.
Survey USA
Quote: Eve of Maryland Democratic Primary, Obama With Significant Advantage Over Clinton: 24 hours till votes are counted in the Maryland Democratic Primary, Barack Obama is well positioned to capture a majority of the convention delegates, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WJLA-TV Washington DC.Today, it's Obama 55%, Clinton 32%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 72 hours ago, Obama is up 3, Clinton is down 1. Clinton is gaining ground in the Baltimore suburbs, but losing ground among voters age 50+.
Mason Dixon
Rasmussen Reports
Quote: Clinton leads just 43% to 41% among white voters while Obama leads 82% to 12% among African-Americans. Clinton leads among white women while Obama leads among white men.
Survey USA
Quote: Maryland Democratic Primary: White Voters Split, Black Voters Propel Obama to Strong Advantage - In a Democratic Primary in Maryland today, 4 days to the vote, Barack Obama defeats Hillary Clinton, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WJLA-TV Washington DC. White voters split, 42% for Clinton, 40% for Obama. But Obama leads 4:1 among African Americans. When all likely voters are combined, it's 52% Obama, 33% Clinton. In the city of Baltimore, Obama leads by 31. In the Baltimore suburbs, Obama leads by 8. In the rest of Maryland, Obama leads by 23. Among seniors, Clinton leads by 15 points. But Obama leads among voters under age 65, including a 39-point advantage among voters age 35 to 49. If younger voters do not vote in the numbers here forecast, Obama's margin is overstated. At stake is a larger share of Maryland's 99 proportionally allocated delegates to the Democratic National Convention.
Republican Polls
American Research Group
Quote: John McCain leads Mike Huckabee among men 50% to 26% (56% of likely Republican primary voters), with 12% for Ron Paul. Among women, McCain leads Huckabee 57% to 28%, with 9% for Paul.
Survey USA
Quote: No Big Weekend Bounce for Huckabee in Maryland; McCain Positioned for Comfortable Win -- 24 hours till votes are counted in the Maryland Republican Primary, John McCain leads Mike Huckabee 2:1, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WJLA-TV Washington DC. The contest has tightened a bit over the weekend, but not as much as in neighboring Virgina, where Huckabee's momentum should make McCain take notice. In Maryland, today, it's McCain 52%, Huckabee 26%, Ron Paul 10%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 72 hours ago, Huckabee is up 9, McCain is down 4. McCain had led by 39 points, now by 26. Though Huckabee has gained ground, McCain still leads among Conservatives, Pro-Life voters, and regular church goers -- groups that Huckabee would need to dominate if he were to challenge McCain in Maryland.
Mason Dixon
Survey USA
Quote: Maryland Republicans Vote Overwhelmingly for McCain: 4 days to the Maryland Republican Primary, John McCain overpowers Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul, in the first poll conducted after Mitt Romney withdrew from the race. Going into the final weekend, it's McCain 56%, Huckabee 17%, Paul 10%. McCain is backed by 72% of Moderates. At stake are 37 proportionally allocated delegates to the Republican National Convention. Research conducted for WJLA-TV Washington DC.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Maryland polls.
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