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Primaries 2012: Primary Polls

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Primaries 2004: Primary Polls

Who gets your vote in 2012?

Barack Obama (BO)	Mike Huckabee (MH)
Email:

Democrat Polls

Survey USA
Date: 1/30
Massachusetts
Added: 2/1/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

But the contest is suddenly tied among men. All of Clinton's lead comes from women, where she leads by 39 points. This is SurveyUSA's 3rd tracking poll in MA, but the first since John Edwards withdrew from the contest. Likely Primary voters are asked to pick which one of 8 issues is most important to them. On all 8 issues, Clinton does better than Obama.

Hillary Clinton	57%
Barack Obama	33%
Unsure	3%
Other	7%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/28
Massachusetts
Added: 2/1/08
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Quote:

Clinton leads by sixteen percentage points among women while Obama leads by five points among men. Clinton�s support is more solid at this time than Obama�s. Among those who say they�d vote for the former First Lady, 74% are �certain� they won�t change their mind. Just 62% of Obama supporters are that certain.
Even before the news that Edwards was leaving the race, just 46% of his supporters were certain they would stick with him until Election Day. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Edwards voters in Massachusetts have a favorable opinion of Obama while 58% have a favorable opinion of Clinton.
The economy is seen as the top issue for 51% of Bay State voters while 24% named the War in Iraq as the top priority. Clinton leads by twenty percentage points among those who see the economy as the key issue. Obama leads by ten percentage points among those focused on the War.
Overall, 78% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters in Massachusetts have a favorable opinion of Obama. Seventy-seven percent (77%) say the same about Clinton. The former First Lady earns positive reviews from 83% of women and 70% of men.
Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Bay State Primary Voters think that Obama would be at least somewhat likely to win the election in November if nominated. Seventy-seven percent (77%) say the same about Clinton.

Hillary Clinton	43%
Barack Obama	37%
John Edwards	11%
Unsure	5%
Other	4%
Source

Western NE College
Date: 1/20-26
Massachusetts
Added: 2/1/08
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]

Quote:

Among independent voters, 48 percent of those who said they plan to vote in the primary are undecided. In Massachusetts, independents may vote in either the Democratic or Republican primary.
The breakdown of those polled showed 64 percent were women, 89 percent were white, and 90 percent were age 35 or older.

Hillary Clinton	43%
Barack Obama	15%
John Edwards	8%
Unsure	31%
Source

Survey USA
Date: 1/22-23
Massachusetts
Added: 1/26/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

All interviews were conducted after the 01/21/08 Democratic candidate debate in Myrtle Beach. Results of the South Carolina Democratic Primary on 01/26/08 and the Florida Democratic Primary on 01/29/08 may influence what happens in Massachusetts and other states that vote on 02/05/08. 41% of likely voters say they may yet change their mind.

Hillary Clinton	59%
Barack Obama	22%
John Edwards	11%
Unsure	6%
Other	2%
Source

Survey USA
Date: 1/16
Massachusetts
Added: 1/18/08
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Quote:

Clinton leads Obama by ... 16 points among men ... 42 points among women ... 23 points among the youngest voters ... 40 points among the oldest voters ... 37 points among registered Democrats ... and 22 points among "Unaffiliated" voters. Overwhelmingly, MA Democratic Primary voters say the Economy is the issue the next President should focus on ahead of all others. Among voters focused on the Economy, Clinton leads by 32 points.

Hillary Clinton	56%
Barack Obama	23%
John Edwards	14%
Unsure	4%
Other	3%
Source

State House News Poll
Date: 1/9-12
Massachusetts
Added: 1/17/08
Est. MoE = 6.1% [?]

Quote:

Hillary Clinton�s edge over Barak Obama has narrowed but she still maintains a statistically significant advantage in the first post-NH Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary trial heat. Clinton leads on the strength of her strong support among women, registered Democrats, older, and lesser-educated voters:
Women Voters: Clinton 44%, Obama 20%, Edwards 11%.

Hillary Clinton	37%
Barack Obama	25%
John Edwards	14%
Unsure	11%
Source

Republican Polls

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/28
Massachusetts
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]

Quote:

Romney earns positive favorability ratings from 78% of Republican voters in Massachusetts. McCain is viewed favorably by 63% of voters.
Romney receives the most support from conservatives, with 63% choosing the former governor. He is also supported by 42% of Republican moderates in Massachusetts.
A recent poll found McCain beating Romney in the neighboring state of Connecticut 42% to 26%. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows the two candidates in a very tight national race.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of voters believe that Mitt Romney is at least somewhat likely to win the election if nominated. McCain is right behind with 73% who feel he is at least somewhat likely to win the presidency if nominated by the Republican Party.
When it comes to issues in the upcoming election, 41% of Massachusetts voters say the economy is the most important. Immigration is second with 25% and the War in Iraq is third with 13%.

Mitt Romney	55%
John McCain	23%
Mike Huckabee	8%
Rudy Giuliani	8%
Ron Paul	4%
Unsure	2%
Other	2%
Source

Survey USA
Date: 1/30
Massachusetts
Est. MoE = 5.6% [?]

Quote:

Carried by 7 of 10 Pro-Life Voters, Romney Poised to Win Home State of Massachusetts: In a Republican Primary in Massachusetts today, 01/31/08, 5 days to the 02/05/08 Primary, Republican favorite son Mitt Romney leads John McCain by 23 points, 57% to 34%, according this SurveyUSA Tracking poll conducted exclusively for WBZ-TV Boston. Romney is backed by 7 of 10 Pro-Life voters and Conservative voters.

Mitt Romney	57%
John McCain	34%
Mike Huckabee	3%
Ron Paul	3%
Unsure	2%
Other	1%
Source

Survey USA
Date: 1/22-23
Massachusetts
Est. MoE = 6.1% [?]

Quote:

Mike Huckabee, Rudolph Giuliani and Ron Paul are far back. Romney runs strong across the board, leads in almost every demographic group. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 01/17/08, conducted after Romney's win in Michigan and before McCain's win in South Carolina, Romney is up 2 points, McCain is down 5. Romney had led by 14, now by 21.

Mitt Romney	50%
John McCain	29%
Mike Huckabee	7%
Rudy Giuliani	6%
Ron Paul	3%
Unsure	2%
Other	1%
Source

Survey USA
Date: 1/16
Massachusetts
Est. MoE = 6.0% [?]

Quote:

Among men, the contest is effectively tied, Romney at 45%, McCain at 42%. Among women, tall and handsome Romney leads short and grizzled McCain by 29 points. Romney runs 38 points ahead among Conservatives. McCain runs 6 points ahead among Moderates. Romney runs 31 points ahead among Pro Life voters. McCain and Romney are effectively tied among Pro Choice voters. 4 out of 10 say the next President should focus on the Economy ahead of all other issues. "Economy" voters split between McCain and Romney. 2 of 10 say Immigration is most important. "Immigration" voters back Romney 6:1 over McCain. One third of GOP Primary voters are "Unaffiliated" -- which means they are not registered as Republicans. But: at the moment, the registered Republicans and the Unaffiliated vote almost identically in MA.