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Democrat Polls

Final Michigan Results
Date: 1/15/08
Michigan
Added: 1/17/08
Est. MoE = -100.0% [?]

American Research Group
Date: 1/12-14
Michigan
Added: 1/15/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

Hillary Clinton continues to lead the abbreviated ballot in Michigan. Clinton leads the uncommitted among Democrats 56% to 33%, while Clinton leads the uncommitted 58% to 24% among independents (and Republicans).

Detroit News/WXYZ Action News poll
Date: 1/9-12/08
Michigan
Added: 1/13/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

Supporters of Sen. Barack Obama and former Sen. John Edwards have encouraged uncommitted votes; they both removed their names from the Michigan ballot over the state's primary scheduling dispute with the national party. That survey, of 600 likely Democratic voters, also carries a four-point error margin.

Detroit Free Press Local 4 Michigan Poll
Date: 1/9-11/08
Michigan
Added: 1/13/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

American Research Group
Date: 1/9-11/08
Michigan
Added: 1/13/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Quote:

Hillary Clinton leads the abbreviated ballot in Michigan. Clinton leads the uncommitted among Democrats 61% to 23%, while the uncommitted leads Clinton 57% to 29% among independents.

Rossman Group/Michigan Information & Research Services/Denno Noor Research (D) poll
Date: 1/6-7
Michigan
Added: 1/10/08
Est. MoE = 5.7% [?]

Quote:

Among a Democratic field that does not include Barack Obama or John Edwards, Hillary Clinton (at 48 percent) is now looking over her shoulder at the threesome of �Uncommitted� (at 28 percent), �unsure� (at 11 percent) and �other� (at 10 percent).

Republican Polls

Final Michigan Results
Date: 1/15/08
Michigan
Est. MoE = -100.0% [?]

American Research Group
Date: 1/12-14
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Quote:

Mitt Romney leads John McCain 33% to 30% among Republicans, while McCain leads Mike Huckabee among independents (and Democrats) 37% to 21%, with 16% for Romney. Romney leads McCain 45% to 33% among "absent" voters.

Mitchell Interactive
Date: 1/12-14
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]

Quote:

�As the undecided voters make up their minds, more are turning to Mitt Romney than to John McCain. We have also seen the participation among Republicans increase to 80% at the end of phoning tonight. That means that 80% of the voters taking part in the GOP Primary identify themselves as Republicans,� Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Interactive said.

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby Poll
Date: 1/12-14
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.0% [?]

Quote:

Pollster John Zogby: �Okay, so who needs interesting? Our final track, to be exact, in Michigan is McCain 27.1% to Romney�s 25.6% and Huckabee at 14.9%. Our call center made 553 calls just on Monday to get as close a read on this as late as we could. Monday alone stood at Romney 26.7% to McCain�s 26.3%. I looked at the calls that were made before 5:30 PM and two candidates were also tied � pretty much as they were after 5:30 PM. There just isn�t any momentum here.

�McCain stays strong with Indies and Democrats, while Romney�s lead among Republicans tightened � as did his lead in the Detroit metro area. Romney�s people are busy on the phones; McCain is campaigning heavily in his strongholds in the western part of the state, following some events in Detroit.

�We turned this into a two-day track by factoring Monday�s calls in with Sunday�s alone for a total of 824 likely voters.

�This looks to be a nail biter, unless something breaks Tuesday.�

Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby Poll
Date: 1/11-13
Michigan
Est. MoE = 2.9% [?]

Quote:

"This has remained tight over each of the three days we have polled. McCain won in Michigan in 2000 and still has some good will in the state. And, of course, Michigan is Romney's home state -- his father was an automobile executive and a popular governor. Huckabee is running a credible third place here prior to his big showdown in South Carolina on Saturday with McCain, Romney, and Thompson.

"Romney has the support of Republicans (30% to 21% for Huckabee, and 20% for McCain) but McCain mops up among Independents (33%-18%), and among the more than one in six voters who are Democrats (35%-17%). Remember it was organized labor pushing Democrats to vote for McCain in 2000. This year, with no competitive Democratic race, there is less organizational effort, but still a combination of pro-McCain sentiment among Dems and a little mischief gives McCain his very slight lead.

"The top issue is the economy, cited by 47%, followed by the war in Iraq (18%), abortion (9%), immigration (8%), and the war on terrorism (6%). Among those who cite the economy, McCain and Romney are tied (25% for McCain, 24% for Romney). McCain leads on Iraq (33% to 27% for Romney). Huckabee dominates among those who said abortion (48%, McCain 18%, Romney 13%).

Immigration voters pick Romney 37% to 17% for McCain and 11% for Huckabee. And Romney is the favored candidate on the war on terror (34% to McCain's 28%). "Seventeen percent of McCain's supporters say that they have made up their minds only in the past few days, as do 10% of Romney's.

Mitchell Interactive
Date: 1/10-13
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Quote:

�As the undecided voters make up their minds, more are turning to Mitt Romney than to John McCain. We have also seen the participation among Republicans increase from 62% last night to 75% at the end of phoning tonight. That means that 75% of the voters taking part in the GOP Primary identify themselves as Republicans,� Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Interactive said.

�Voters since the New Hampshire Primary have all talked about change. However, when asked which is more important to voters in their presidential choice, �experience� or �being an agent of change,� almost seven in ten (69%) say experience while 20% say being an agent of change. Romney leads by 2% with those saying experience and he leads by more than 2:1 among those who say being an agent of change is most important in their presidential choice,� Mitchell concluded.

McClatchy MSNBC poll by Mason Dixon Polling and Research
Date: 1/9-11
Michigan
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

Quote:

The rise of the economy as an issue and Romney�s new strength after two losses underscored how volatile the campaign has become as the party grapples to find a new leader and direction for the post-Bush era.

Likely voters in Michigan rank the economy and jobs their top concern, well above some of the other issues that had dominated much of the Republican debate nationally for months, such as national security and terrorism, taxes and government spending, moral issues, and illegal immigration.

Romney�s making what could be a do-or-die stand in Michigan, playing up his background as a successful business executive as well as his home-state ties as the son of the late George Romney, himself a successful businessman as chairman of American Motors and a popular Michigan governor.

Mitchell Interactive
Date: 1/9-12
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Quote:

'Momentum has clearly shifted to Romney between our Wednesday and Thursday night polling. If this trend continues, he will be ahead when we drop off totals from Wednesday night and add the totals from our polling tomorrow (Sunday) night,' Mitchell said.

�The big reason for the Romney movement is the greater interest by Republicans in their own Primary and a movement of undecided voters to Romney. The undecided vote has dropped from 23% to 18% and the percentage of voters who identify themselves as Republican has increased from 54% to 62%,� Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Interactive said.

Detroit News/WXYZ Action News poll
Date: 1/9-12/08
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

Quote:

Even now, the Republican race remains fluid. Just over half of likely voters in that race say they are very certain of their vote; the other 45 percent are undecided or could change their preference.

Romney leads 27-24 percent among self-described Republicans, with Huckabee at 20 percent. Romney also leads in the three-county Detroit area, while McCain and Huckabee do better in the rest of the state. And among the nine percent of voters who said they had already voted by absentee ballot, Romney leads 3-to-1.

As expected, Huckabee is strongest among Christian conservatives and those who cite "values" as their most important criterion. About one in three voters described themselves as born-again or evangelical Christians, and Huckabee leads by a substantial margin with both groups. Most dramatically, he leads more than 3-to-1 among voters who say it matters a great deal that the candidate they vote for shares their values.

McCain aide John Yob, a Michigan native, said big crowds at his candidate's Michigan events have energized the campaign.

Detroit Free Press Local 4 Michigan Poll
Date: 1/9-11/08
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Rasmussen Reports
Date: 1/9/08
Michigan
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

Quote:

As was the case in both Iowa and New Hampshire, the race in Michigan is likely to be quite fluid during the final week of campaigning. Just 57% of Likely Republican Primary Voters are certain they will end up voting for their current favorite. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of McCain voters are certain they will vote for him along with 55% of Romney supporters. As for those who support Huckabee, just 41% are that certain.

In Michigan, Romney is viewed favorably by 71% of Likely Primary Voters. Sixty-nine percent (69%) have a favorable opinion of McCain. For Giuilani 64% offer a positive assessment, Huckabee gets good reviews from 59%, Thompson from 57%, and Paul from 33%.

McCain is seen as the most electable candidate. Seventy-two percent (72%) say he would be somewhat or very likely to win the White House if nominated. That figure includes 30% who consider McCain Very Likely to win if nominated.

American Research Group
Date: 1/9-11/08
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Quote:

John McCain and Mitt Romney are tied among Republicans (31% for McCain and 30% for Romney), while McCain leads Romney among independents 43% to 19%, with 14% for Mike Huckabee.

Mitchell Interactive
Date: 1/9-10/08
Michigan
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

Steve Mitchell explains, "8 years ago, John McCain won the Michigan Republican Primary because of strong support from Democrats and independents who voted in the Republican Primary," Mitchell goes on to say, "In 2000, he lost to George W. Bush by 2:1 among Republicans.

This time, McCain narrowly leads with Republicans, but is likely to win the primary because of his continued support from independents and Democrats," Mitchell concluded.

Strategic Vision (R) poll
Date: 1/4-6
Michigan
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]

Quote:

5. What do you believe is the number one issue facing America? War on terror 21%. Economy 17%. War in Iraq 15%. Immigration 11%. Taxes 10%. Crime 9%. Healthcare 8%. Education 5%. Undecided 4%.

Do you prefer a candidate who has experience in office or one who represents change? Experience 44%. Change 28%. Undecided 28%

6. Do you favor withdrawing all American combat forces from Iraq in the next 6 months? Yes 39%. No 44%. Undecided 17%

Rossman Group/Michigan Information & Research Services/Denno Noor Research (D) poll
Date: 1/6-7
Michigan
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]

Quote:

�The Republican primary in Michigan is coming down to a three-way scrum between Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney and John McCain� said Kelly Rossman-McKinney, CEO of The Rossman Group. �The real loser is Rudy Giuliani, who didn't even get to double digits here this time around. Proving that being first out of the gate doesn't get you to the finish line."

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Michigan polls.

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