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Middle Tennessee State UniversityAdded: 9/29/08
Middle Tennessee State University
While McCain leads Obama 52 percent to 33 percent in the rest of the state, the percentages flip-flop inside Metro Nashville�s borders to 59 percent for Obama and Biden compared to 28 percent for McCain and Palin. The sample within Metro Nashville is too small to rule out a statistical tie, even with such a wide gap in the percentages. But the data do indicate that while Tennessee as a whole belongs to McCain, Metro Nashville is relatively friendly territory for Obama. Most Tennesseans appear to have made up their minds at this point with regard to who they think should be the next president. Among McCain�s supporters, 93 percent say they are certain they will vote for him, leaving only 7 percent who say that they may still change their minds. Similarly, 90 percent of Obama�s supporters say they are certain they will vote for him, with only 10 percent stating that they might change their minds. Among those who remain undecided, 24 percent say, when pressed, that they are leaning toward McCain, while 18 percent say they are leaning toward Obama. The rest reiterate that they are undecided. The Republican lead grows larger among likely voters in Tennessee, 55 percent of whom would vote for McCain and Palin and 35 percent of whom would vote for Obama and Biden. Just 7 percent of likely voters are undecided. The poll defines likely voters as those who say they voted in the state�s 2006 U.S. Senate race, are presently registered to vote, and plan to vote in November�s presidential election. There are 357 such likely voters in the poll�s sample.
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