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Democrat Polls
American Research Group
Date: 3/9-10
Mississippi
Added: 3/12/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Quote: Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 54% to 37% among self-described Democrats and Obama leads 53% to 42% among self-described independents and Republicans. Among men (42% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads 53% to 37%. Among women, Obama leads 55% to 38%. Clinton leads 65% to 28% among white voters (43% of likely Democratic primary voters). Obama leads 75% to 15% among African American voters (54% of likely Democratic primary voters). Obama leads 61% to 30% among voters age 18 to 49 (33% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads 51% to 42% among voters age 50 and older. 22% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 15% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. 28% of men say they would never vote for Clinton and 30% of white voters say they would never vote for Obama.
Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research
Date: 3/9
Mississippi
Added: 3/11/08
Est. MoE = 5.3% [?]
Quote: InsiderAdvantage�s Matt Towery: � Last week it appeared that there was a possibility that Republicans might crossover to vote in the Democratic primary. (The state has an open primary). �However, this fresh survey suggests that no such trend is developing. The only thing to watch on Election Day is whether Clinton can somehow stay in a comfortable zone of the 40 percent range. This turned out not to be the case in Wyoming. �There is some possibility that turnout patterns might allow for a slightly better chance of a face-saving number for Clinton. However, virtually all of the African-American respondents have moved in Sen. Obama�s direction since last week, and this consolidation � which, as we noted last week, always occurs late in southern-state races � all but assures a solid Obama win on Tuesday.�
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 3/5
Mississippi
Added: 3/11/08
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]
Quote: Clinton leads among senior citizens but trails among younger voters. But, it is the racial divide that defines the campaign in Mississippi�Obama leads 80% to 12% among African-American voters while Clinton holds a 47% advantage among White voters. Both candidates are viewed favorably by 69% of the state�s Likely Primary Voters. But, Obama earns Very Favorable ratings from 50% while only 37% are that enthusiastic about Clinton. Clinton receives favorable views from 72% of White voters and 66% of African-American voters. Fifty percent (50%) of White voters have a Very Favorable opinion of her while just 25% of African-American voters say the same. Obama is viewed favorably by 92% of African-American voters and just 44% of White voters. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of African-American voters in Mississippi have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama. Just 19% of White voters share that view.
American Research Group
Date: 3/5-6
Mississippi
Added: 3/7/08
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
Quote: Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 66% to 31% among self-described Democrats while Clinton leads Obama 44% to 31% among self-described independents and Republicans. Among men (43% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads 49% to 42%, with 8% saying they will vote for someone else. Among women, Obama leads 65% to 28%. Clinton leads 61% to 22% among white voters (42% of likely Democratic primary voters), with 13% saying they will vote for someone else. Obama leads 87% to 11% among African American voters (55% of likely Democratic primary voters). Obama leads 66% to 22% among voters age 18 to 49 (32% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads 54% to 40% among voters age 50 and older. 12% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 21% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. 17% of men say they would never vote for Clinton and 48% of white voters say they would never vote for Obama.
Insider Advantage
Date: 3/6
Mississippi
Added: 3/7/08
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]
Quote: InsiderAdvantage�s Matt Towery: �This should be a very safe race for Obama. Past primaries in the South show him attracting most of the African-American vote, and that vote is hugely significant in a Mississippi Democratic primary. While there remains a relatively high percentage of undecided black voters in our survey, this is typical in southern races at this stage. That number will dwindle as Election Day draws near. �There is some good news for Clinton in this survey. First, she is winning independent voters. Second, we have heard rumors that Republicans voters might engage in the primary in higher than normal numbers, so that they can vote for Clinton, and thus keep the Democratic battle going. There is some evidence that this trend might be developing. �Finally, Clinton has a demographic that she could possibly go after to gain votes. She currently trails among women in Mississippi, but leads among men. If she could turn the uniqueness of becoming the first woman president into a major talking point, she might make additional progress with Mississippi women,� Towery said. �Overall, I would have expected this to be a bigger margin for Obama. That still might happen. But the race deserves scrutiny, given the potential for Republican and independent participation in a state where Republicans are usually tied unalterably to their party. The next survey we�ll conduct will tell us if Republicans in Mississippi could become engaged, if temporarily, in Democratic politics; enough to make the Democratic primary closer than expected,� Towery concluded.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Mississippi polls.
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