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Primaries 2012: Primary Polls

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Who gets your vote in 2012?


 Barack Obama (BO)

 Mike Huckabee (MH)
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Monmouth Gannett

Added: 11/1/08

Monmouth Gannett
Date: 10/29-31
New Jersey
Added: 11/1/08

Barack Obama55%
John McCain34%
Source


There's "a huge enthusiasm gap between Democrats and Republicans," with about 80 percent of Democrats saying they're more enthusiastic than usual this year versus about half of the Republicans, he said.

U.S. Sen. Frank R. Lautenberg, D-N.J., also has a solid double-digit lead over Republican Dick Zimmer in their Senate race. Among likely voters, 50 percent of New Jersey registered voters planned to vote for Lautenberg versus 31 percent for Zimmer.

In the Senate race, "it's all coat-tails," Murray said.

Polls on Tuesday - Election Day - are open from 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.

Murray said "the economy isn't the top issue. It's the only issue and that's been true the past two weeks since the stock market tanked and the bail-out."

"Republican enthusiasm dropped off from just two weeks ago," he said. "I think they're sensing a big loss."

Typically, if it looks like someone will win big, many voters, especially on the winner's side, will stay home, according to Murray.

But "people who want to vote for Obama will go out and vote for Obama, no matter what they think his margin is going to be because they want to be a part of history," he said.

National polls show Obama ahead of McCain. Gallup's Nov. 1 poll showed a 10-point spread, with Obama at 52 percent to McCain's 42 percent among likely voters.

USAToday's review of state polls from across the country shows that as of last week, Obama was in a position to win more than enough states to top 270 electoral votes, the number required to become president.


 

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