Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Democrat Polls

Final Nevada Results
Date: 1/19/08
Nevada
Added: 1/22/08
Est. MoE = -100.0% [?]

Hillary Clinton51%
Barack Obama45%
John Edwards4%
Source


TouchTonePoll.com
Date: 1/16-19
Nevada
Added: 1/20/08
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Hillary Clinton44%
Barack Obama35%
John Edwards7%
Dennis Kucinich2%
Unsure12%
Source


Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby Poll
Date: 1/17-18
Nevada
Added: 1/19/08
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

Quote:

Pollster John Zogby: �It has been said that caucuses are impossible to poll. We have done very well in the Iowa caucuses, nailing both the Democrats in 2004 and both Democrats and Republicans in 2008. Nevada is a greater challenge because we have no history there. That said, we are in the business of generating data, and we can�t state whether this is impossible or not in Nevada unless we base it on data, and that is what we have been gathering over the past week. We will know on Saturday how well we did. The important thing here is that this is a good representation of how Nevada Democrats who said they would turn out would vote. Now, let�s see if they do�.
Hillary Clinton45%
Barack Obama39%
John Edwards6%
Dennis Kucinich1%
Mike Gravel1%
Unsure6%
Source


Reuters/C SPAN/Zogby Poll
Date: 1/15-17
Nevada
Added: 1/18/08
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]

Quote:

Pollster John Zogby on Nevada: �Clinton holds a slight lead in Nevada but it will all depend on organization. Nevada Democrats have no real history for us to go on, so we will have to see how powerful the unions, civil rights, and other organizations are in bringing out their constituencies. Noteworthy is the tale of Black America vs. White America. Obama leads among African Americans 81% to 16%, while Clinton leads among whites 46% to 31%. What this portends for other states we will have to wait and see.

Significantly, Clinton leads among Hispanics 51% to 27%. Clinton also leads among Moderates. The two top candidates are battling it out among union members.

Hillary Clinton42%
Barack Obama37%
John Edwards12%
Unsure5%
Other2%
Source


American Research Group
Date: 1/9-14
Nevada
Added: 1/16/08
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Quote:

Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton among men 40% to 27%, with John Edwards at 24%. Clinton leads Obama and Edwards among women 41% to 25% each for Obama and Edwards. Edwards leads among union members with 34%, followed by Obama at 29% and Clinton at 28%.
Hillary Clinton35%
Barack Obama32%
John Edwards25%
Unsure8%
Source


Research 2000 for the Reno Gazette Journal
Date: 1/11-13
Nevada
Added: 1/14/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

COMMENTS - "Most respected pollsters have indicated that they will not poll Nevada because there are too many unknown variables. They don't want to be embarrassed." according to Lady Eagle.

"This is great news for working Americans! Edwards is the REAL candidate for change. No wonder the corporate interests in the media are trying so hard to silence him." according to AstroGirl.

Barack Obama32%
Hillary Clinton30%
John Edwards27%
Source


Republican Polls

Final Nevada Results
Date: 1/19/08
Nevada
Est. MoE = -100.0% [?]

Mitt Romney51%
Ron Paul14%
John McCain13%
Mike Huckabee8%
Fred Thompson8%
Rudy Giuliani4%
Duncan Hunter2%
Source


TouchTonePoll.com
Date: 1/16-19
Nevada
Est. MoE = 5.0% [?]

Mitt Romney21%
Mike Huckabee16%
Ron Paul16%
John McCain13%
Rudy Giuliani12%
Fred Thompson8%
Duncan Hunter3%
Unsure12%
Source


American Research Group
Date: 1/9-14
Nevada
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

Quote:

Mitt Romney leads John McCain among Republicans 29% to 21%. McCain leads Romney among men 29% to 25% and Romney leads Giuliani among women 31% to 19%.
Mitt Romney28%
John McCain21%
Fred Thompson13%
Rudy Giuliani11%
Ron Paul9%
Mike Huckabee8%
Unsure10%
Source


Research 2000 for the Reno Gazette Journal
Date: 1/11-13
Nevada
Est. MoE = 3.6% [?]

John McCain22%
Rudy Giuliani18%
Mike Huckabee16%
Mitt Romney15%
Fred Thompson11%
Ron Paul6%
Duncan Hunter1%
Source


This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Nevada polls.


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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

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One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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