Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Democrat Polls

Franklin Pierce University / WBZ Poll conducted by RKM Research and Communication
Mid-date: 12/30/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/3/08
Est. MoE = 4.6% [?]

Quote:

It is interesting to track each candidate�s favorability rating in order to better understand how the contest is shaping up over time. Edwards (75%) and Obama (74%) enjoy the highest net favorability ratings in the current poll, while Clinton�s net favorability (58%) has dropped slightly since June (73%) and September (65%). The results outlined below indicate that Clinton, Obama and Edwards each have high net favorability ratings over time.

Hillary Clinton	32%
Barack Obama	28%
John Edwards	19%
Bill Richardson	8%
Joe Biden	3%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	8%
Source

CNN/WMUR/University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/2/08
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Quote:

The Democratic race in New Hampshire has tightened up, too. Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York has a 4-point lead over Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois, 34 percent to 30 percent, among likely Democratic primary voters. But if you take into account the survey's sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, it's a statistical dead heat.
Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards is at 17 percent in the poll, with the remaining Democratic presidential candidates in single digits.
Clinton has an advantage on the economy, the war in Iraq and especially health care. She is also seen as the most experienced and most electable Democratic candidate, but show scores low on honesty. Obama is far and away considered the most likable person in the race.
Obama has also scored one public relations victory -- he is now seen as the candidate of change. Back in September, a plurality thought Clinton was best able to bring change to the country; now Obama has the edge on that measure.
It appears many Granite State residents are waiting until next Tuesday to make their decision. Twenty-nine percent of likely Republican primary voters and 24 percent of likely Democratic Party voters say they won't decide whom to vote for until election day.
There's also the Iowa factor. The caucuses, which kick off the presidential primary season, are Thursday, five days before the vote in New Hampshire.

Hillary Clinton	34%
Barack Obama	30%
John Edwards	17%
Bill Richardson	5%
Joe Biden	3%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Unsure	8%
Source

7NEWS/Suffolk University poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 1/1/08
Est. MoE = 5.4% [?]

Hillary Clinton	36%
Barack Obama	22%
John Edwards	14%
Bill Richardson	7%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	12%
Source

American Research Group
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/31/07
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

Hillary Clinton	31%
Barack Obama	27%
John Edwards	21%
Bill Richardson	5%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Joe Biden	3%
Mike Gravel	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	8%
Source

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll
Mid-date: 12/26/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/28/07
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Barack Obama	32%
Hillary Clinton	30%
John Edwards	18%
Bill Richardson	5%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Joe Biden	2%
Unsure	11%
Source

Boston Globe/University of New Hampsire Survey Center
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/23/07
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Barack Obama	30%
Hillary Clinton	28%
John Edwards	14%
Bill Richardson	7%
Dennis Kucinich	4%
Joe Biden	3%
Unsure	12%
Other	1%
Source

USA Today/Gallup Poll
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/21/07
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]

Hillary Clinton	32%
Barack Obama	32%
John Edwards	18%
Bill Richardson	8%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	3%
Source

American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/21/07
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]

Hillary Clinton	38%
Barack Obama	24%
John Edwards	15%
Bill Richardson	5%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Chris Dodd	2%
Mike Gravel	1%
Unsure	9%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/20/07
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]

Hillary Clinton	31%
Barack Obama	28%
John Edwards	18%
Bill Richardson	8%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Joe Biden	2%
Chris Dodd	1%
Source

CNN/WMUR University of New Hampshire
Mid-date: 12/15/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/19/07
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Hillary Clinton	38%
Barack Obama	26%
John Edwards	14%
Bill Richardson	8%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Joe Biden	2%
Other	1%
Don't Know	8%
Source

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
Mid-date: 12/12/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/15/07
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Hillary Clinton	34%
Barack Obama	25%
John Edwards	15%
Bill Richardson	6%
Dennis Kucinich	2%
Joe Biden	2%
Mike Gravel	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	13%
Other	1%
Source

Research 2000 for The Concord Monitor
Mid-date: 12/11/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/15/07
Est. MoE = 4.6% [?]

Barack Obama	32%
Hillary Clinton	31%
John Edwards	18%
Bill Richardson	8%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Joe Biden	2%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	5%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/11/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/13/07
Est. MoE = 3.1% [?]

Barack Obama	31%
Hillary Clinton	28%
John Edwards	17%
Bill Richardson	8%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Mike Gravel	1%
Unsure	7%
Source

Suffolk University/7News Poll
Mid-date: 12/10/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/13/07
Est. MoE = 5.3% [?]

Hillary Clinton	33%
Barack Obama	26%
John Edwards	15%
Bill Richardson	5%
Dennis Kucinich	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	19%
Source

CNN/WMUR/University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll
Mid-date: 12/8/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/13/07
Est. MoE = 4.8% [?]

Hillary Clinton	31%
Barack Obama	30%
John Edwards	16%
Bill Richardson	7%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Joe Biden	1%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	10%
Source

McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/5/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/10/07
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

Hillary Clinton	30%
Barack Obama	27%
John Edwards	10%
Bill Richardson	7%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Joe Biden	3%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	19%
Source

Zogby International poll
Mid-date: 12/2/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/8/07
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Hillary Clinton	32%
Barack Obama	21%
John Edwards	16%
Bill Richardson	6%
Joe Biden	4%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Unsure	17%
Other	1%
Source

Washington Post/ABC News Poll
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/8/07
Est. MoE = 3.8% [?]

Hillary Clinton	35%
Barack Obama	29%
John Edwards	17%
Bill Richardson	10%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Joe Biden	2%
Chris Dodd	1%
Unsure	3%
None of these	1%
Source

Marist College Poll
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Al Gore
Added: 12/8/07
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Hillary Clinton	37%
Barack Obama	24%
John Edwards	18%
Bill Richardson	8%
Dennis Kucinich	3%
Joe Biden	2%
Unsure	8%
Source

Republican Polls

Franklin Pierce University / WBZ Poll conducted by RKM Research and Communication
Mid-date: 12/30/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.7% [?]

Quote:

After indicating their candidate choice, voters were then asked if their choice is firm, or if they could change their mind sometime between now and the primary election on January 8th. According to Myers, �the results clearly indicate that the Republican presidential primary remains highly fluid. With less than one week to go, 41 percent of Republican voters said that they could change their mind before the primary.� Among likely voters who support McCain, 64 percent indicated that it is a firm choice, while 36 percent indicated that they could change their mind. Among likely voters who support Romney, 54 percent indicated that it is a firm choice, while 44 percent indicated that they could change their mind. Among likely voters who support Giuliani, less than one-half (38%) indicated that their�s is a firm choice, and 62 percent indicated that they could change their mind.

John McCain	37%
Mitt Romney	31%
Rudy Giuliani	10%
Ron Paul	6%
Mike Huckabee	5%
Fred Thompson	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	9%
Source

CNN/WMUR/University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Quote:

"For the first time, GOP primary voters see McCain and not Giuliani as best able to handle terrorism, and a whopping 53 percent feel he could do the best job with the war in Iraq, which is up from 38 percent in mid-December," CNN polling director Keating Holland said.
"Romney has a major advantage on the economy and illegal immigration. When it comes to the personal qualities of the two men, McCain has taken the lead on experience and is seen as more honest. Republican primary voters view Romney as more likable and the two are tied on values," Holland added.
When it comes to electability, Romney has the advantage.
"New Hampshire Republicans think Romney has the best chance of beating the Democrat in November," Schneider said.

John McCain	29%
Mitt Romney	29%
Rudy Giuliani	12%
Mike Huckabee	10%
Ron Paul	7%
Fred Thompson	2%
Duncan Hunter	2%
Unsure	8%
Other	1%
Source

7NEWS/Suffolk University poll
Mid-date: 12/29/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 5.2% [?]

John McCain	31%
Mitt Romney	25%
Rudy Giuliani	14%
Mike Huckabee	9%
Ron Paul	6%
Fred Thompson	2%
Alan Keyes	1%
Unsure	12%
Source

American Research Group
Mid-date: 12/28/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.7% [?]

John McCain	30%
Mitt Romney	30%
Mike Huckabee	11%
Rudy Giuliani	9%
Ron Paul	7%
Fred Thompson	3%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Alan Keyes	1%
Unsure	8%
Source

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll
Mid-date: 12/26/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.4% [?]

Mitt Romney	34%
John McCain	21%
Rudy Giuliani	14%
Mike Huckabee	9%
Ron Paul	6%
Fred Thompson	4%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	11%
Source

Boston Globe/University of New Hampsire Survey Center
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.3% [?]

Mitt Romney	28%
John McCain	25%
Rudy Giuliani	14%
Mike Huckabee	10%
Ron Paul	8%
Fred Thompson	3%
Unsure	12%
Source

USA Today/Gallup Poll
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.3% [?]

Mitt Romney	34%
John McCain	27%
Rudy Giuliani	11%
Mike Huckabee	9%
Ron Paul	9%
Fred Thompson	4%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	5%
Source

American Research Group poll
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

John McCain	26%
Mitt Romney	26%
Rudy Giuliani	16%
Mike Huckabee	11%
Ron Paul	4%
Fred Thompson	4%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Alan Keyes	1%
Unsure	10%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/18/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.3% [?]

Mitt Romney	31%
John McCain	27%
Rudy Giuliani	13%
Mike Huckabee	11%
Ron Paul	7%
Fred Thompson	3%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Source

CNN/WMUR University of New Hampshire
Mid-date: 12/15/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.6% [?]

Mitt Romney	34%
John McCain	22%
Rudy Giuliani	16%
Mike Huckabee	10%
Ron Paul	5%
Fred Thompson	1%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	8%
Other	1%
Source

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
Mid-date: 12/12/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.1% [?]

Mitt Romney	33%
John McCain	20%
Rudy Giuliani	16%
Mike Huckabee	11%
Ron Paul	8%
Fred Thompson	2%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Unsure	8%
Other	1%
Source

Rasmussen Reports
Mid-date: 12/11/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 3.4% [?]

Mitt Romney	33%
John McCain	18%
Rudy Giuliani	15%
Mike Huckabee	14%
Ron Paul	8%
Tom Tancredo	3%
Fred Thompson	2%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	7%
Source

Research 2000 for The Concord Monitor
Mid-date: 12/11/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.5% [?]

Mitt Romney	31%
Rudy Giuliani	18%
John McCain	17%
Mike Huckabee	9%
Ron Paul	7%
Fred Thompson	3%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	13%
Source

Suffolk University/7News Poll
Mid-date: 12/10/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 5.2% [?]

Mitt Romney	31%
John McCain	19%
Rudy Giuliani	17%
Mike Huckabee	10%
Ron Paul	5%
Fred Thompson	4%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Alan Keyes	1%
Unsure	12%
Source

CNN/WMUR/University of New Hampshire Granite State Poll
Mid-date: 12/8/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.9% [?]

Mitt Romney	32%
John McCain	19%
Rudy Giuliani	19%
Mike Huckabee	9%
Ron Paul	7%
Fred Thompson	1%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Unsure	12%
Other	1%
Source

McClatchy MSNBC Poll conducted by Mason Dixon Polling & Research
Mid-date: 12/5/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Mitt Romney	25%
Rudy Giuliani	17%
John McCain	16%
Mike Huckabee	11%
Fred Thompson	6%
Ron Paul	5%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Alan Keyes	1%
Unsure	17%
Source

Zogby International poll
Mid-date: 12/2/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.2% [?]

Mitt Romney	35%
John McCain	17%
Rudy Giuliani	15%
Mike Huckabee	10%
Ron Paul	7%
Fred Thompson	3%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	10%
Other	2%
Source

Washington Post/ABC News Poll
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.3% [?]

Mitt Romney	37%
John McCain	20%
Rudy Giuliani	16%
Mike Huckabee	9%
Ron Paul	8%
Fred Thompson	4%
Duncan Hunter	1%
Unsure	4%
None of these	1%
Source

Marist College Poll
Mid-date: 12/1/2007
New Hampshire
w/o Newt Gingrich
Est. MoE = 4.9% [?]

Mitt Romney	31%
John McCain	18%
Rudy Giuliani	18%
Mike Huckabee	11%
Ron Paul	6%
Fred Thompson	4%
Duncan Hunter	2%
Tom Tancredo	1%
Unsure	9%
Source

This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 New Hampshire polls.

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