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Democrat Polls
Survey USA
Quote: New Mexico Looks Less-and-Less Like a Toss-Up, 5 Weeks Till Votes are Counted: In an election for President of the United States in New Mexico today, 10/01/08, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 52% to 44%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KOB-TV in Albuquerque. Compared to an identical poll released two weeks ago, both candidates' numbers are unchanged. While overall numbers remain steady, there is some offsetting movement along gender lines:Among men, Obama had led by 10, now leads by 2. Among women, Obama had led by 6, now leads by 14 -- an 8-point swing toward McCain among men and a reciprocal 8-point swing in Obama's favor among women. Obama cannot win the state without the support of Hispanic Americans and Native Americans. McCain leads by 9 points among New Mexico whites; Obama leads by 37 points among Hispanics and by 33 points among Natives. If Hispanic turnout is overstated in this model, so is Obama's lead. If Hispanic turnout is understated in this model, so is Obama's lead. 13% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 17% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain; independents favor Obama by 16 points. Among voters who are younger than Barack Obama, Obama leads by 12 points. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain leads by 11. Among those who are in-between the two candidates' ages, Obama leads by 10.
Zogby Interactive Survey
Quote: Most recent polls show New Mexico's purple edging closer to blue.
Public Policy Polling
Quote: �New Mexico is probably the state Bush took in 2004 that Barack Obama will have the easiest time winning this time around,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Part of this large lead may be a product of last week�s economic crisis but even if things return to normal this is a place where the Democrats are going to have a significant advantage.�
Allstate National Journal Magazine
Survey USA
Quote: New Mexico's Critical 5 Electoral Votes Start to Turn Blue: In an election for President of the United States in New Mexico today, 09/17/08, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain by 8 points, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KOB-TV in Albuquerque. Today, it's Obama 52%, McCain 44%. McCain leads by 11 among whites; Obama leads by 41 among Hispanics.Obama leads by 12 among voters younger than Obama. McCain leads by 10 among voters older than McCain.Half of voters say the economy is most important. Among those voters, Obama leads 3:2. Obama leads among the more educated. McCain leads among the less educated.Obama leads among the less affluent. McCain leads among the more affluent.
American Research Group
Rasmussen Reports
Quote: Although the two-point lead is not statistically significant in a poll with a four-point margin of sampling error, it�s quite an improvement for McCain from August. At that time, Obama was ahead 48% to 44% (with leaners included). Since then, the Republican has gained ground among Hispanic voters and those not affiliated with either major party.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 New Mexico polls.
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