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Democrat Polls
Columbus Dispatch
Date: 9/26-10/3
Ohio
Added: 10/5/08
Quote: Ohio is even more critical to McCain's campaign this year since he pulled out of Michigan last week. Not only has no Republican ever won the presidency without carrying the Buckeye State, McCain almost has to run the 2004 electoral table to win, carrying every single state President Bush won four years ago, including Ohio. The Arizona senator is scheduled to appear in Cleveland on Wednesday, while Obama plans a two-day bus trip across Ohio this week. Although both are attempting to persuade voters that they would bring about the change America needs, the survey shows that Ohioans are buying that message more from Obama, by a margin of 10 percentage points. "It is not only a matter of change, but change for the better, and Obama has the better chance of securing that change," said poll participant Graig E. Kluge, 36, a Cleveland Heights real-estate investment manager. "John McCain voted with Bush 90 percent of the time in 2007-08 and at least 70 percent before that. McCain will not push for the change that is needed for this country -- he is going to be much like Bush."
Survey USA
Date: 9/28-29
Ohio
Added: 10/1/08
Quote: In Ohio, Slight Movement to Obama, But Fight for 20 Electoral Votes Still Even: In an election for President of the United States held in Ohio today, 09/30/08, Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama finish within one point of each other, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCMH-TV Columbus, WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, and WDIO-TV Dayton. Today, it's McCain 49%, Obama 48 -- McCain's nominal 1-point lead within the survey's 3.8 percentage point margin of sampling error. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 15 days ago, Obama is up 3 points; McCain is flat. McCain leads by 17 points among those who earn more than $50,000 a year. Obama leads by 21 points among those who earn less than $50,000 a year. McCain leads 5:4 in Columbus, Cincinnati, and Toledo. Obama leads 5:4 in greater Cleveland. McCain and Obama are effectively tied in Dayton. McCain leads by 12 points among whites; Obama leads by 69 points among blacks. 65% of likely voters say the next president should focus on the economy ahead of all other issues: among that group, Obama leads 5:4. 9 of 10 Republicans vote for McCain; 8 of 10 Democrats vote for Obama; independents are tied. Among men, McCain today leads by 5 points, down from 13 points two weeks ago; among women, Obama today leads by 2, down slightly from 4 points two weeks ago. Among voters who are younger than Barack Obama, Obama and McCain were and are tied. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain had led by 10; now, Obama and McCain tie among these voters. Among voters who are in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain had led by 10, now leads by 2.
Quinnipiac University
Date: 9/27-29
Ohio
Added: 10/1/08
Quote: The 64 percent of voters who watched the debate say Obama did better 49 - 33 percent. Obama gets a 54 - 32 percent favorability in Ohio, with 49 - 40 percent for McCain. Palin's favorability is split 35 - 35 percent, compared to 41 - 22 percent last time. Biden's favorability is 38 - 27 percent, compared to 36 - 22 percent last time. For 59 percent of Ohio voters, the economy is the biggest issue, and post-debate voters trust Obama more than McCain 50 - 39 percent to handle this issue, compared to 49 - 39 percent pre-debate. Voters trust McCain more, 53 - 38 percent to handle foreign policy, compared to 51 - 39 percent pre-debate. After the debate, voters say 50 - 23 percent that Obama's efforts on the economic crisis have been helpful more than harmful, compared to 43 - 33 percent for McCain. By a 48 - 29 percent margin, Ohio voters oppose the $700 billion economic rescue plan. "It's easy to see why Sen. McCain is doing so poorly. On September 11, his favorable/unfavorable ratio among Ohio voters was 53 - 34 percent. Now it's just 49 - 40 percent, dropping from a 19-point plus to nine points in just 20 days, while Sen. Obama's ratings have remained as positive as they were. And the economy is the reason. Obama's five-point edge as the best candidate to handle the economy - which is by far the most important issue to voters, especially in economically distressed Ohio - has doubled," Brown said.
Insider Advantage
Date: 9/29
Ohio
Added: 10/1/08
Quote: Analysis: Sen. McCain lost ground in two critical demographic groups. Among independent voters Obama now leads 48%-46; McCain has lost ground among males as well, now leading by only 48%-to-44%. Ironically, the undecided percentage remains the same as in our last survey of Ohio, suggesting a shift among voters who previously stated they were supporting McCain.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/28
Ohio
Added: 9/29/08
Quote: Over the past week, Obama gained ground in all five battleground states included in the Fox News/Rasmussen Reports polling this week. In Ohio, 55% have a favorable opinion of McCain while 52% say the same about Obama. McCain leads by eleven among white voters in the state but trails 81% to 15% among all other voters. Obama leads among voters under 40 while McCain has the edge among older voters. Obama leads among those who earn less than $40,000 a year while McCain leads among those with higher incomes.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 9/23
Ohio
Added: 9/26/08
Quote: Just eight percent (8%) of Ohio voters rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent while 54% say it's poor. Only three percent (3%) say it�s getting better while 54% say it�s heading in the opposite direction. Thirty-five percent (35%) say the housing market will get better within a year, including four percent (4%) who say it�s already getting better. However, 37% say there�s no end in sight to the housing crunch. As the economy continues to struggle, Ohio voters say creating economic growth is more important than reducing the income gap between rich and poor. This is similar to the national average. Sixty-eight percent (68%) believe that McCain is more interested in creating growth while 64% believe Obama is more interested in reducing the gap between rich and poor. McCain is supported by 88% of Republicans and has a modest advantage among unaffiliated voters. Obama wins the vote from 90% of Democrats. Obama leads among those who make less than $40,000 a year while McCain leads among those who earn more.
Zogby Interactive Poll
Date: 9/9-12
Ohio
Added: 9/26/08
Quote: The race here has again tightened, with some polls giving Obama a slight lead.
Insider Advantage
Date: 9/22
Ohio
Added: 9/23/08
Quote: The latest InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position survey in Ohio suggests an even tie in the race. As Sen. McCain struggled with his response to last week�s economic news, his support among segments of the voting population that might seem vulnerable to a weak economy declined. Among males, McCain dropped from a 56%-to-41% in our survey released September 11, to a 51%-to-43% lead in the most recent survey. The most distressing news for the McCain camp comes from senior voters and independents. In our last survey McCain enjoyed a more typical 52%-to-41% lead among voters age 65 and over. In this latest survey McCain and Obama are even with 46% of the senior vote each. Finally, among those who describe themselves as "independent" as to their political affiliation, McCain dropped from a significant 51%-to-34% advantage, to a less impressive 49%-to-42% lead.
Rasmussen Reports for FOX News
Date: 9/21
Ohio
Added: 9/23/08
Quote: McCain is viewed favorably by 56% of Ohio voters and unfavorably by 42%. Obama�s ratings are 50% favorable, 49% unfavorable. McCain is trusted more than Obama by voters by a 49% to 43% margin. However, just 24% say they would be extremely comfortable with him in the White House, while 30% say that of the democratic nominee. Still, 45% of voters say they would be not at all comfortable with an Obama presidency, while just 36% say that about McCain. Voters are pretty evenly divided as to who they trust more on the economy and jobs, with Obama holding the edge 49% to 47%. McCain performs well on national security and the War on Terrorism, leading his opponent 55% to 41% on this issue. If faced with the toughest decision of their lives, 52% of voters in Ohio say they would turn to McCain for advice, while 39% would ask Obama.
Ohio Newspaper Poll
Date: 9/12-16
Ohio
Added: 9/21/08
Quote: The Ohio News Organization � a cooperative formed this year by the state�s eight largest daily newspapers � commissioned a poll of the presidential race. The Institute for Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati, which also runs the respected Ohio Poll, surveyed 869 likely Ohio voters Sept. 12-16. The poll�s error margin is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points. Pollster changed the order of the candidates� names during interviews.
Marist College Poll
Date: 9/11-15
Ohio
Added: 9/20/08
Quote: It�s a Tossup: The race for the White House is a dead heat among registered voters in Ohio. 44% of the state�s registered voters say they support Senator Barack Obama -- the same proportion who backs Senator John McCain. When likely Ohio voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, are factored into the equation, Obama has 47% to McCain�s 45%. 90% of likely Democratic voters in the state say they support Obama. A similar proportion of likely Republican voters -- 89% -- report that they are behind their party�s candidate. Support among likely Independent voters is evenly split between the two candidates with each receiving 42%. Most Ohio Voters Strongly Support Their Choice for President: Regardless of whom they support, 81% of registered Ohio voters say they are strongly committed to their candidate. 82% of voters who are McCain supporters strongly support the GOP candidate while 79% of Obama backers are firmly behind him. Only a small percentage of both McCain�s and Obama�s supporters report they might change their vote by Election Day -- 3% for McCain compared with 6% for Obama. Economy Takes Center Stage in Campaign: With many of the nation�s financial institutions in a tailspin, Ohio voters are worried about the economy. More than four in ten registered voters say the economy is the most important issue for them when picking a candidate. Security against terrorism and social issues tie for a distant second with 11%. Health care follows closely behind with 9%. There is at least one thing that both McCain and Obama supporters agree on -- the economy is the central issue in this presidential race. 35% of McCain�s backers and 49% of Obama�s report that the economy is the issue that matters most to them when choosing a candidate. However, more Republicans -- 22% -- say security against terrorism is the key issue in the race compared with just 2% of voters for Obama. Health care is a greater priority for Obama supporters. 15% of registered voters in the Democrat�s camp have it at the top of their list compared with only 3% of McCain�s backers.
Allstate National Journal Magazine
Date: 9/11-15
Ohio
Added: 9/19/08
Big Ten Battleground Poll
Date: 9/14-17
Ohio
Added: 9/19/08
CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corp
Date: 9/14-16
Ohio
Added: 9/18/08
American Research Group
Date: 9/10-13
Ohio
Added: 9/17/08
Public Policy Polling
Date: 9/13-14
Ohio
Added: 9/16/08
Quote: McCain and Obama had been tied in last month�s Ohio poll. White voters who had been undecided are breaking strongly for McCain. Where he had an 11 point lead with them last month, it is now 18. The Republican nominee has also greatly improved his standing among independent voters. He has an eight point lead with them now after Obama had a 17 point advantage with them in the August poll. �There is a troubling trend for Barack Obama of undecided white voters in many of the swing states moving into John McCain�s camp,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �He�s going to be in trouble if he can�t get that turning back in the other direction.� One factor that may be helping McCain to move up in the polls is his selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate. 43% of those surveyed said her presence on ticket made them more likely to vote McCain, while just 30% said the same about Obama�s choice of Joe Biden. There�s a significant gender gap in the state�s results right now, with Obama leading by five points among women but trailing by 16 with men. Obama has an advantage with voters under 30, but John McCain leads each of the other age categories.
Rasmussen Reports for FOX News
Date: 9/14
Ohio
Added: 9/16/08
Quote: The is the ninth straight Ohio poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports this year and McCain has held at least a slight advantage in all nine. However, the shifting margins are indicative of how volatile the race is in the state that sealed President Bush�s reelection in 2004. Last week�s numbers matched McCain�s largest lead of the year while this week�s result are more in line with the smaller lead he has maintained in the state since July. McCain has the backing of 90% of Republicans while Obama is supported by 78% of Democrats. This week, Obama has the edge among unaffiliated voters. Men give the edge to McCain 55% to 41%, but women favor Obama 48% to 41%. Ohio voters trust McCain over Obama by a 48% to 42% margin, but 30% say they would be extremely comfortable with the Democrat as president versus 24% who feel that way about his Republican opponent. Factor in those who say they would be very comfortable or somewhat comfortable with either man as president, though, and McCain comes out on top 62% to 55%. But 41% say they would not be comfortable at all with Obama as president, while 36% say that of McCain.
Survey USA
Date: 9/12-14
Ohio
Added: 9/16/08
Quote: McCain, 7 Weeks Out, Positioned to Hold Ohio's 20 Electoral Votes for GOP: In an election for President of the United States in Ohio today, 09/15/08, Republican John McCain defeats Barack Obama by 4 points, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCMH-TV Columbus, WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, and WDIO-TV Dayton. Today, it's McCain 49%, Obama 45%. McCain leads 5:4 in Columbus, Cincinnati, Dayton, and Toledo. Obama leads 5:4 in greater Cleveland. McCain leads by 16 points among whites; Obama leads by 82 points among blacks.6 in 10 voters say the president should focus on the economy ahead of all other issues, and among that group, Obama leads 5:4. But the smaller group of voters who say terrorism is most important backs McCain 32:1. 3 times as many Democrats crossover to vote Republican as Republicans who crossover to vote Democrat. Among men, McCain leads by 13 points; among women, Obama leads by 4 -- a 17 point gender gap. Among voters who are younger than Barack Obama, Obama and McCain are tied. Among voters older than John McCain and those who are in-between the two candidates' ages, McCain leads by 10. McCain leads 5:4 among those who earn more than $50,000 a year. Obama leads 4:3 among those who earn less than $50,000 a year.
Suffolk University
Date: 9/10-13
Ohio
Added: 9/15/08
Quote: The GOP �maverick� ticket of McCain and Alaska Gov. Palin led Democrat Obama and his vice president pick, Delaware Sen. Joe Biden 46 percent to 42 percent in the general election - just 56 days away, according to a poll of likely Buckeye state voters. Likely voters told pollsters they trust McCain more than Obama - 49 percent to 41 percent. David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University in Boston, said Ohio voters are likely more trusting of McCain because of the popularity of his �Straight Talk Express,� and because Obama is still suffering from the smearing slugfest during Democratic primary battle with Hillary Clinton.
University of Cincinnati
Date: 9/5-10
Ohio
Added: 9/13/08
Quote: Eric W. Rademacher, The Ohio Poll�s Co-Director, said, �Both campaigns have many hours of work ahead if they want to secure a path to the presidency through Ohio.� Two findings of the Poll suggest the presidential race in Ohio may have a long way to go: First, a large portion of likely voters (23%) may still be �up for grabs�: nineteen percent say they might change their mind and switch candidates before Election Day, and four percent are undecided as to which candidate they will choose. Second, more Democrats than Republicans currently express intent to cross party lines on November 4. While 11 percent of Democratic likely voters currently say they will vote for McCain, just five percent of Republican likely voters currently intend to vote for Obama. While this bears watching, early partisan �defectors� often �come home� to support their party�s candidate by Election Day. Rademacher noted, �After a relatively quiet summer, Ohio voters are becoming more engaged with the presidential campaigns. The dynamics of this race may change as voters make final decisions based on candidate performances in Ohio and on the national stage.� *We ask users to properly attribute this copyrighted information to the �Ohio Poll,� sponsored by the University of Cincinnati. The name, �Ohio Poll,� is registered with the Ohio Secretary of State.
Insider Advantage Poll Position
Date: 9/10
Ohio
Added: 9/12/08
Strategic Vision
Date: 9/7-9
Ohio
Added: 9/12/08
Quote: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? Favorable 48% Unfavorable 39% Undecided 13% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joseph Biden? Favorable 46% Unfavorable 34% Undecided 20% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 36% Undecided 15% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? Favorable 53% Unfavorable 33% Undecided 14% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the economy, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 49% Barack Obama 43% Undecided 8% Which presidential candidate do you believe would be best able to handle the war in Iraq, Barack Obama or John McCain? John McCain 52% Barack Obama 38% Undecided 10% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance? Approve 25% Disapprove 68% Undecided 7% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy? Approve 21% Disapprove 68% Undecided 11% Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq? Approve 37% Disapprove 56% Undecided 7%
Quinnipiac University Poll
Date: 9/5-9
Ohio
Added: 9/11/08
Quote: Obama leads 52 - 42 percent among Ohio women, compared to 51 - 37 percent August 26. Men split 47 - 47 percent. Obama leads 64 - 33 percent among voters 18 to 34, while voters 35 to 54 split with 48 percent for McCain and 46 percent for Obama. Voters over 55 back McCain 48 - 44 percent. Independent voters back McCain 47 - 43 percent, compared to a 42 - 38 percent Obama lead August 26, and 28 percent of former Clinton supporters now back McCain, compared to 23 percent last time. McCain gets a 53 - 34 percent favorability in Ohio, identical to Obama's 53 - 33 percent. Palin's favorability is 41 - 22 percent, compared to 36 - 22 percent for Biden. For 52 percent of Ohio voters, the economy is the biggest issue, while 11 percent cite health care; 10 percent say the war in Iraq; 9 percent list energy policy and 8 percent say terrorism. The choice of a running mate will have little impact on their vote, 61 percent of Ohio likely voters say. "Sen. McCain and Sen. Obama are getting the same level of party loyalty and the Republican is even winning slightly among independents. But Obama is ahead because there are so many more people who identify as Democrats - a legacy of the 2006 election and scandals involving former Gov. Robert Taft's administration," Brown said.
Rasmussen Reports for FOX News
Date: 9/7/08
Ohio
Added: 9/9/08
Quote: The latest numbers, which are the first to be released since the conclusion of both parties� conventions, mark an improvement for the Republican nominee. In August, McCain had a slightly more modest advantage over the Democrat. In fact, the GOP hopeful has held a modest lead since July in the swing state that finally decided the 2004 election. McCain is viewed favorably by 63% of Ohio voters and unfavorably by 35%. Obama�s ratings are 50% favorable, 48% unfavorable. Rasmussen Reports and Fox News Channel will jointly release a series battleground state polls every Monday night at 6:00 p.m. Eastern. See overview of all polling released this week. Rasmussen Reports will release other state polling on the Presidential race weeknights at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, follows the race on a national basis and is updated every morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern This month, McCain enjoys a solid 58% to 32% among unaffiliated voters in Ohio. That is a major improvement from the five-point deficit the Republican received from this demographic a month ago. Among men, McCain leads 59% to 36%, but the Republican trails among women 50% to 45%.
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp
Date: 8/31-9/2
Ohio
Added: 9/4/08
Quote: It looks like a very different story in Ohio, which has 20 electoral votes up for grabs. President Bush's narrow victory in Ohio four years ago clinched his re-election. It looks like it could be just as tight this time around in Ohio. The poll suggests that Obama has a 2-point lead over McCain, 47 percent to 45 percent, which is a virtual tie when taking into account the survey's 3.5-percentage-point sampling error.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Ohio polls.
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