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Public Policy Polling
Date: 5/17-18
Oregon
Added: 5/19/08
Est. MoE = 2.7% [?]
Quote: Obama has likely pretty much won the election already. Oregon votes by mail, and he is polling at 59% with the 74% of poll respondents who reported already having cast their ballots. �Oregon is shaping up as a similar state to Wisconsin for Obama,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �He started out with a small lead there, then built it into the upper double figures as election day came nearer. Anything other than a double digit victory for him would be a surprise, and a disappointment for his campaign.� Obama leads with female voters in the state, which makes it nearly impossible for Clinton to win.
Suffolk University
Date: 5/17-18
Oregon
Added: 5/19/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
American Research Group
Date: 5/14-16
Oregon
Added: 5/17/08
Est. MoE = 4.0% [?]
Quote: Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 57% to 39% among men (48% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, Clinton leads 51% to 44%. Obama leads 51% to 44% among white voters (88% of likely Democratic primary voters). Clinton leads 50% to 46% among Hispanic voters (6% of likely Democratic primary voters). Obama leads 55% to 38% among voters age 18 to 49 (49% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads 52% to 45% among voters age 50 and older. Clinton and Obama are tied at 49% each among voters saying they have returned their ballots (58% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads 52% to 40% among voters saying they will definitely return their ballots by May 20th. 20% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 22% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.
Portland Tribune by Davis Hibbitts Midghall
Date: 5/8-10
Oregon
Added: 5/14/08
Est. MoE = 4.9% [?]
Quote: �Barring a disaster, Barack Obama�s going to win Oregon, and he may win it very big,� said Hibbitts, one of Oregon�s most respected nonpartisan pollsters. �This is the widest lead that I�ve seen of any poll for Obama in Oregon,� he said. �I�d be shocked if Obama didn�t win here.� Clinton�s slim hopes of gaining the Democratic nomination could rely on sweeping all six remaining primaries, Hibbitts said. Oregon�s May 20 primary could prove crucial in the nominating battle if Clinton wins, as expected, in West Virginia tonight and Kentucky on May 20. �Obama needs a counterbalancing win, and Oregon looks like it�s here to provide it for him,� Hibbitts said. That could give Obama an important psychological advantage as he tries to woo remaining uncommitted superdelegates, Hibbitts said. Those are elected officials and party insiders who are awarded automatic votes at the Democrats� nominating convention this summer.
Public Policy Polling
Date: 5/10-11
Oregon
Added: 5/14/08
Est. MoE = 3.2% [?]
Quote: �It looks like Oregon is shaping up as a strong win for Barack Obama,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �The results in Oregon and in Kentucky, where Senator Clinton is expected to win next Tuesday, are likely to pretty much offset each other.� The war trumps the economy as the top issue among those polled in Oregon, 41-34, a result that PPP has not found in any other state so far in 2008. The closest it came to being the top issue was in Wisconsin, another state where Obama won a dominating victory. Obama leads Clinton 63-31 among voters who state the war as their top issue. Clinton does better among voters on the economy, where she trails just 48-44, and on the third most important issue of health care where she has a 48-46 lead.
Survey USA
Date: 5/9-11
Oregon
Added: 5/14/08
Est. MoE = 3.9% [?]
Quote: Oregon Women Move To Obama in Final Week Before Primary: In a Democratic Primary in Oregon today, 05/12/08, 8 days until votes are counted, Barack Obama defeats Hillary Clinton 54% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for KATU-TV Portland. Though the results are only slightly more in favor of Obama than SurveyUSA's most recent track point, released 11 days ago, before results of North Carolina and Indiana were known, there is movement in Oregon among women. 5 weeks ago, Clinton led by 7 among Oregon women. Today, Obama leads by 7. See the interactive tracking graph here .Among voters younger than Obama, Obama leads by 24 points. Among voters older than Republican John McCain, Clinton leads, but just barely, and by a lot less than she had. See the interactive tracking graph here .4 in 10 of likely voters have already returned a ballot. Among the actual voters, Clinton and Obama tie. Obama's advantage comes entirely from the 6 in 10 likely voters who tell SurveyUSA they will return their ballot before 8 pm on Primary Day, but have not yet done so. All voting in Oregon is by U.S. mail. Ballots may be returned until 8 pm on 05/20/08.
Rasmussen Reports
Date: 5/1
Oregon
Added: 5/7/08
Est. MoE = 3.3% [?]
Quote: Clinton has a statistically insignificant lead among senior citizens while Obama leads among younger voters. Obama does best among upper income voters while Clinton�s strongest support comes from those who earn less than $40,000 annually. Obama is viewed favorably by 78% of the state�s Likely Primary Voters, Clinton by 71%. Fifty percent (50%) of Obama voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton while 56% of Clinton voters hold a positive view of Obama. Eighty-two percent (82%) say that if Clinton is the nominee, they will vote for her over John McCain in the fall. An identical number, 82%, say they will vote for Obama over McCain. Seventy-six percent (76%) say they have been closely following recent news stories about Barack Obama�s former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright. Just 16% have a favorable opinion of Wright while 56% have an unfavorable view. Fourteen percent (14%) agree with Wright�s views about the United States and 62% do not. Forty-four percent (44%) believe that Obama was surprised by Wright�s comments at a press conference last Monday. Thirty-four percent (34%) disagree and say he was not surprised. Most Obama supporters say their candidate was surprised, most Clinton voters say he was not. Thirty-four percent (34%) say it�s at least somewhat likely that Obama shares some of Wright�s controversial views. Nationally, 56% of all voters believe Obama is likely to share some of those views. In Oregon, 50% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters believe that Obama denounced Wright because he was outraged. Thirty-three percent (33%) say he did so because it was politically convenient.
This is a monthly synopsis of many more 2008 Oregon polls.
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