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Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaAdded: 10/23/08
Public Policy Institute of California
As the presidential campaign heads into the final two weeks, likely voters in California continue to support the Obama-Biden ticket. Support for the Democratic ticket has grown since last month and likely voters currently prefer Obama-Biden over McCain-Palin by a 23-point margin (56% to 33%). The Democrats� lead has increased 13 points since our September survey, which was conducted after the nominating conventions and before any of the four debates. Nationwide, the Obama-Biden ticket has improved its position since September among registered voters, according to several national surveys. Still, registered voters in California prefer Obama-Biden by a wider margin than registered voters nationwide. Party loyalty among California�s likely voters remains high, with Democratic voters supporting Obama- Biden (89%, up 5 points since September) and Republicans supporting McCain-Palin (75%, down 8 points since September). Among independents, support for McCain dropped 10 points since September (35% to 25%), while the percentage that is undecided increased 12 points (8% to 20%). Obama enjoys the most support among likely voters in the San Francisco Bay Area (72%), followed by Los Angeles (61%) and the Central Valley (49%), while those in the Other Southern California region support McCain (47%). Today, 62 percent of women and 50 percent of men support Obama-Biden. Support for McCain-Palin has declined among both women and men (6 points each) since the September survey, which was conducted after McCain�s selection of Palin as his running mate. Among Latinos today, Obama-Biden lead McCain- Palin by a four-to-one margin (73% to 18%); the Democratic advantage among Latinos has increased sharply since September (57% Obama, 30% McCain) and is similar to August (71% Obama, 16%, McCain). The Obama-Biden ticket leads the McCain-Palin ticket across all age, education, and income groups. Among self-described evangelical Christians, 56 percent support McCain.
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