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Public Policy Polling

Added: 10/20/08

Public Policy Polling
Date: 10/18-19
North Carolina
Added: 10/20/08

Barack Obama51%
John McCain44%
Bob Barr2%
Unsure4%
Source


Independent voters continue to move toward Obama in droves. He now has a 51-33 lead with them. He�s also now up to receiving 82% of the Democratic vote. Staying over the 80% threshold there would almost certainly ensure a victory in North Carolina.

McCain now leads among white voters just 55-39, an edge that�s not nearly enough given Obama�s 92-6 lead with black voters. George W. Bush won about two thirds of the white vote against both John Kerry and Al Gore in North Carolina.

�A lot of folks thought North Carolina might revert right back to the Republican column after John McCain started really contesting here, but Barack Obama is holding strong,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Assuming that the black vote is pretty much fixed McCain needs to add about ten points to his lead among white voters in the next two weeks if he�s going to win the state.�

In North Carolina�s US Senate race challenger Kay Hagan continues to lead incumbent Elizabeth Dole, as she has now in PPP�s last seven surveys of the race. Hagan�s advantage is now up to 49-42. Hagan is annihilating Dole among suburban voters, 56-38. She�s also shoring up her support with the key Democratic constituency of black voters, with whom she is now ahead 84-7, and improvement from 78-12 a week ago.


 

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