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Public Policy Polling

Added: 11/2/08

Public Policy Polling
Date: 10/31-11/2
Virginia
Added: 11/2/08

Barack Obama52%
John McCain46%
Unsure3%
Source


Obama�s lead is down from 52-43 last week, an indication that undecided voters might be moving toward John McCain. Nonetheless Obama is holding strong over the 50% mark.

Obama is winning more Republican voters (13%) than McCain is Democratic voters (9%). Obama is also holding a slight lead with independents, 49-47.

Obama has held tight at 42% of the white vote since last week. McCain�s share has increased from 53% to 56%. That�s not going to be good enough for him given the 20% black portion of the electorate, and Obama�s 91-9 lead within that group.

�Virginia has really become a firewall for Barack Obama,� said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. �Even if he ends up losing in places like Florida and Ohio, it still seems pretty certain that he�ll win here, and there aren�t a lot of scenarios where he wins Virginia and doesn�t take the Presidency along with him.�

Obama is winning every age group except senior citizens and leads with both male and female voters.

In Virginia�s Senate race Democrat Mark Warner is set for an easy victory. He leads fellow former Governor Jim Gilmore 62-36, including a 67-28 advantage with independent voters.


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