|
|
Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008
Presidential Candidates
Battleground States
|
Rasmussen ReportsAdded: 6/30/08
Rasmussen Reports
"At this stage of the campaign, Sen. Barack Obama is rolling over Sen. John McCain in Connecticut. Quinnipiac University also has conducted surveys in seven swing states in the last two weeks and Sen. Obama is ahead in every one" said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D. "It still is very early in the campaign and Obama gets a bump from not having to run against Sen. Clinton any more, but for now, the Connecticut landslide looks like part of a trend." "Obama is winning among the demographic groups where he seemed to be having problems when he faced Sen. Clinton: white voters, especially whites with less than a college degree," Dr Schwartz added. If McCain picks Sen. Joseph Lieberman as his running mate, only 14 percent of Connecticut voters say they are more likely to vote Republican, while 32 percent are less likely and 52 percent say it won't affect their vote. By a 61 - 23 percent margin, Connecticut voters have a favorable opinion of Obama, compared to 46 - 38 percent for McCain. Because of his age, 23 percent of voters say they are less likely to vote for McCain, while 75 percent say it won't affect their vote. Obama's race won't affect their vote, 89 percent say. Barack Obama has opened a huge lead over John McCain in Connecticut. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds the Democrat ahead 52% to 35%. This is the first Rasmussen Reports survey of the race since Obama clinched the Democratic nomination and Hillary Clinton ended her campaign. A month ago, Obama led McCain by just three percentage points in the Nutmeg State. In March, Obama was up by a dozen points just before Pastor Jeremiah Wright became a campaign issue. Since wrapping up the Democratic nomination, Obama’s numbers have improved in both state polls and nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. In Connecticut, Obama has a solid 58% to 30% lead among women, but just a five point advantage among men. Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, Obama leads 44% to 37%. The Democratic nominee is viewed favorably by 62% of Connecticut voters, up from 54% last month. He is viewed unfavorably by 43%. McCain’s numbers are 54% favorable and 43% unfavorable, which have remained unchanged since the last poll.
|
Predicted Electoral Math
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
