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Reno Gazette JournalAdded: 10/31/08
Reno Gazette Journal
"I think I can say at this point that Nevada is Barack Obama's state to lose," pollster Del Ali said Wednesday of the battleground state that President Bush won twice. "I think this is a state that is going to flip." Of 600 likely voters surveyed statewide, 50 percent said they would vote for Obama if the election were today, compared with 45 percent who said they would vote for McCain. Three percent said they would vote for another candidate and 2 percent remained undecided. The Reno Gazette-Journal/Channel 2 news poll was conducted Saturday to Tuesday by Maryland-based Research 2000. The margin of error is 4 percent. The lead, which Obama has maintained in two separate RGJ polls this month, has given his supporters a sense of "cautious optimism," said Assemblywoman Sheila Leslie, D-Reno, an Obama supporter. "I'd say we are optimistic, but we don't feel we have a it won," Leslie said. "In fact, what I hear from most people is more worry over what if, what if, what if." Noting that Obama's lead is within the statistical margin of error, meaning either candidate could win Tuesday, political observers said the race has come down to which campaign will be able to get more of its supporters to the polls. "Now it's a game of turnout," Democratic strategist Dan Hart said. Coupled with Obama's lead in the polls, the fact that Democrats have been turning out in far greater numbers than Republicans during early voting has some Republicans questioning what McCain could do to turn it around. "Obviously, time is running out," Republican strategist Greg Ferraro said. "A mistake can be made that's crippling, but you haven't seen the Obama campaign make many mistakes. I think even McCain's advisers are recognizing they are falling further behind."
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