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Research 2000 for DailyKos.comAdded: 10/26/08
Research 2000 for DailyKos.com
In 2004, Bush won the state 57-43, meaning that Tennessee might be one of small handful of states that actually trend more Republican than the other way around. Most of you don't know it, but there's actually a Senate race in Tennessee this year. There's not much to see -- Lamar! leads Democrat Bob Tuke 59-37 in this poll. Like much of the southern polling we've done, African American respondents report abnormally high "undecided" numbers. It's more of that reverse Bradley effect we've been seeing, with a higher portion of black voters refusing to tell pollsters who they support. Accounting for that, it looks like both top-of-ticket Dems are at their party's absolute floor -- about 40 percent. Let's chalk up Tennessee as a long-term project.
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