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Suffolk UniversityAdded: 10/28/08
Suffolk University
With just one week to go before the Nov. 4 election, Obama (50 percent) leads McCain (40 percent). The double-digit spread is a marked switch from just over a month ago, when a Suffolk University poll found a virtual dead heat between the two candidates in the Silver State. It�s the first Nevada poll this year to find a double-digit lead for Obama. �Barack Obama seemingly has struck a chord with the independent spirit of the West.� said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. �Some of the battleground states that were once solidly Republican are showing blue streaks as we get close to Election Day.� A separate Suffolk University bellwether poll of Nevada�s Washoe County finds Obama leading McCain 45 percent to 41 percent. In 2008, Suffolk University bellwethers were 95 percent accurate in predicting straight-up winners in both Democratic and Republican primaries, and, when in agreement with the statewide Suffolk polls of the respective states, were 100 percent accurate in predicting straight-up winners. An overwhelming majority of likely Nevada voters responding to the poll (94 percent) have now made up their minds. Just 1 percent described themselves as undecided, and 5 percent said they may change how they will vote between now and election day. The trust factor also has swung significantly in Obama�s direction. Asked which candidate they trust more, 50 percent of respondents said Obama, while 41 percent said McCain. A Suffolk poll released Sept. 22 found likely voters in Nevada trusted Obama over McCain by a much slimmer 46 percent-to-45 percent margin.
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