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Who gets your vote in 2012?


 Barack Obama (BO)

 Mike Huckabee (MH)
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Survey USA

Added: 10/31/08

Survey USA
Date: 10/27-30
Indiana
Added: 10/31/08

Barack Obama47%
John McCain47%
Bob Barr2%
Unsure3%
Other1%
Source


Both McCain and Obama have mobilized their partisan bases. Both have double-digit defections by their own weak partisans, but receive overwhelming support from strong partisans and independents leaning toward their party. To McCain�s benefit, there are slightly more Republicans in our sample (44%) than Democrats (42%). However, Obama holds a greater than the margin-of-error lead among Hoosier self-described independents 44% to 37%.

Most Hoosiers long-ago decided who they would support for president. However, some distinctive patterns of vote decision timing appear for each candidate. McCain�s support is greater among those who knew all along how they would vote. Relative to McCain, Obama received more support from those who decided after the party conventions but before the bailout and debates. He also received two-thirds of those deciding after the debates but before the past few days. Twice as many of those deciding in the past few days support McCain over Obama, though there are only fifteen percent of Hoosiers who decided after the debates and in the past few days.


 

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