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SusquehannaAdded: 10/20/08
Susquehanna
"It will be very difficult for McCain to close that gap enough to win," even though the Arizona Republican is faring slightly better than Obama among the remaining undecided voters, Lee said. Obama's lead in the vote-rich counties around Philadelphia is twice as large as John Kerry's was when he won the state in 2004, Lee said. President Bush won 19 percent of the vote in Philadelphia in 2004, while McCain is polling at 11 percent there. "This is where the race is won," Lee said. McCain's best chance at winning might lie in Western Pennsylvania. McCain plans to return to the area Tuesday for the first time since August, with an afternoon rally at Robert Morris University in Moon. McCain leads Obama in most of Western Pennsylvania, excluding Allegheny County, where Obama leads by 8 points. "If McCain can really close the math in Allegheny County and win the rest of the Pittsburgh media market by an even bigger margin than Bush won four years ago, I think McCain has a chance to catch Obama. I just don't think that's likely to happen," Lee said. Voters are making up their minds, the poll shows. Forty-two percent say they'll definitely vote for Obama, and 35 percent say the same about McCain. That's a 5-point increase for both candidates. The number of undecided voters fell from 10 percent to 7 percent -- a 3-point drop that mirrors the increase in Obama's overall lead.
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