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VCUAdded: 10/27/08
VCU
As we enter the final days of the presidential election campaign, likely voters1 in Virginia prefer Democratic Party nominee Barack Obama, over Republican Party nominee John McCain by an 11-point margin (51% for Obama to 40% for McCain). Further, Mark Warner, the Democratic Party candidate for U.S. Senate holds a strong lead over his Republican opponent, Jim Gilmore (61% for Warner to 27% for Gilmore) among likely voters. These findings are part of a new state-wide survey conducted by Virginia Commonwealth University. The Commonwealth Poll was conducted by telephone with 902 registered voters and 817 likely voters from October 20-22, 2008. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points for registered voters and likely voters, respectively. �All eyes have been on Virginia voters for the first time in decades,� said Cary Funk, Ph.D., director of the Commonwealth Poll and associate professor of the L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs. �Obama�s lead looks strong in both Northern Virginia as well as in the Tidewater region. The most closely divided region of the state is the central region, which includes the greater Richmond area,� Funk said. Voting intentions are closely aligned with party identification. Obama garners 46% to McCain�s 40% among independents who are registered to vote. Republican voters support McCain over Obama by a wide margin; 86% for McCain to just 10% for Obama. Similar portions of Democratic voters support Obama (88% for Obama to 4% for McCain).
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